Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 10

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Respect Energy Stadium (Grodzisk Wielkopolski)

Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	Canal+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport


	Warta Poznań		Śląsk Wrocław

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.5	2.95	3
	2.5	2.95	3	Watch
	2.56	2.98	3.26
	2.4	3	2.88	Watch
	2.46	3.06	3.04	Watch
	2.55	3	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.45)	3.01 ↓ (3.21)	3 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
37.6%

Draw
31.2%

Śląsk Wrocław
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28.9%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

30%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Śląsk Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Warta Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Śląsk will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Śląsk: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Grobelny J. (G) 4. Stavropoulos D. 44. Szymonowicz D. 34. Plesnierowicz W. 2. Bartkowski J. 16. Luis M. 21. Kupczak M. (C) 22. Matuszewski K. 7. Szmyt K. 29. Vizinger D. 77. Savic S.	12. Leszczynski R. (G) 27. Konczkowski M. 4. Bejger L. 5. Petkov A. 33. Matsenko Y. 26. Ince B. 17. Schwarz P. 16. Pokorny P. 8. Olsen P. 10. Nahuel M. 9. Exposito E. (C)
Substitutes
28. Borowski F. 97. Kaminski W. 31. Krzyzak O. 1. Lis A. (G) 8. Maenpaa N. 25. Paszkowski J. 47. Prikryl T. 14. Tiru B. 6. Zurawski M.	3. Borthwick-Jackson C. 18. Borys K. 23. Lukasik D. 2. Paluszek A. 28. Rzuchowski M. 24. Samiec-Talar P. 35. Trelowski K. (G) 7. Zohore K. 22. Zukowski M.
Coaches
Szulczek D.	Magiera J.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Warta won 3.

Recent matches Warta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Śląsk is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Śląsk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Warta: Kielb J. (Injury) Kopczynski M. (Injury) Przybylko K. (Injury) Zrelak A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Śląsk: Gorski M. (Injury) Poprawa K. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Warta won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Cup
27.09.23	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Warta Poznań	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.09.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Warta Poznań	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Warta Poznań - Lech Poznań	0:2 ✺
01.09.23	ŁKS Łódź - Warta Poznań	0:2 ✺
26.08.23	Warta Poznań - Cracovia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWT
- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Śląsk Wrocław	2:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.09.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Piast Gliwice	1:0 ✺
15.09.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - Śląsk Wrocław	1:3 ✺
03.09.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:1 ✺
30.08.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Śląsk Wrocław	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
14.04.23	Warta Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław	3:1
03.10.22	Śląsk Wrocław - Warta Poznań	0:2
Club Friendly
14.01.22	Śląsk Wrocław - Warta Poznań	1:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
13.12.21	Warta Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1
25.07.21	Śląsk Wrocław - Warta Poznań	2:2
09.05.21	Warta Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław	2:3
17.12.20	Śląsk Wrocław - Warta Poznań	2:1

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