Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 25

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Korona Kielce 2		Star Starachowice

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	2.68
	2.52	3.38	2.42
	2.28	3.37	2.8	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.45
	2.43	3.88	2.43	Watch
	2.17	3.47	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.17)	3.41 ↓ (3.47)	2.57 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korona Kielce 2
38.3%

Draw
26.5%

Star Starachowice
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

25.5%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

24.5%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Star Starachowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Korona Kielce 2 - Star Starachowice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Kowalski J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Tobola K. ⚽,
63', 2 - 1, Glowinski M. ⚽,
65', 2 - 2, Stanislawski S. ⚽,
80', 3 - 2, Mianowany M. ⚽,

Preview

Format: 3x40 minutes.

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 4).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.8:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Korona 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 1:3.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Korona Kielce II	11	3	2	6	23:27	-4	11
15	Star Starachowice	11	2	5	4	13:17	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korona Kielce 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
28.03.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Cracovia 2 - Korona Kielce 2	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	4:2 ✺
07.03.26	Stal Kraśnik - Korona Kielce 2	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Świdniczanka Świdnik	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWW
- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
28.03.26	Star Starachowice - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Wisła II Kraków - Star Starachowice	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Star Starachowice - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Star Starachowice	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Star Starachowice - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
13.09.25	Star Starachowice - Korona Kielce 2	3:2
Club Friendly
16.07.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Star Starachowice	1:3
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.06.25	Star Starachowice - Korona Kielce 2	1:4
Club Friendly
08.02.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Star Starachowice	1:4
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
16.11.24	Korona Kielce 2 - Star Starachowice	1:3

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