Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 10

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Municipal Stadium Sebastiana Karpiniuka (Kolobrzeg)

Referee: Karski L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	Kotwica Kołobrzeg		Górnik Łęczna

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.1	2.45
	2.8	3.2	2.35
	2.8	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.85	3.29	2.54
	2.85	3.19	2.5	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.3
	2.78	3.18	2.43	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.66)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	2.45 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
33.1%

Draw
29%

Górnik Łęczna
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

30.2%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

31.7%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Górnik Łęczna Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Koziol M. (G) 7. Kosakiewicz L. (C) 21. Kozajda M. 27. Welna T. 77. Bieganski A. 24. Oliveira F. 80. Petrovic Z. 14. Kostevych V. 10. Cywinski M. 29. Bykowski M. 39. Jonathan Junior	44. Kostrzewski A. (G) 3. Grabowski M. 5. Broda M. 6. De Amo J. 21. Bednarczyk J. 23. Oduko O. 11. Janaszek F. 10. Deja A. (C) 52. Warchol D. 22. Orlik K. 19. Banaszak P.
Substitutes
6. Kort K. 9. Kozlowski F. 70. Krekovic L. 1. Krzepisz K. (G) 13. Kurowski M. 44. Lucas Ramos 11. Rajsel N. 66. Witasik P. 17. Zietek L.	99. Akhmedov B. 18. Barauskas D. 98. Krawczyk S. 1. Pindroch B. (G) 95. Roginic M. 17. Spacil B. 14. Szabaciuk F. 7. Traore S. 9. Turski H.
Coaches
Tarasiewicz R.	Stano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Kozajda M. ⚽, Kostevych V. (A),
32', Oduko O. 🟨,
40', Jonathan Junior 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Oduko O. ↓, Spacil B. ↑,
62', Orlik K. 🟨,
65', Kostevych V. 🟨,
71', Grabowski M. ↓, Szabaciuk F. ↑,
71', Janaszek F. ↓, Krawczyk S. ↑,
71', Orlik K. ↓, Akhmedov B. ↑,
72', Bykowski M. ↓, Kurowski M. ↑,
72', Bieganski A. ↓, Krekovic L. ↑,
78', Warchol D. ↓, Roginic M. ↑,
80', Jonathan Junior ↓, Rajsel N. ↑,
84', Deja A. 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Banaszak P. ⚽, Akhmedov B. (A),
88', Kosakiewicz L. 🟨,
88', Roginic M. 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+5', Zietek L. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish Division 1
15.09.24	Arka Gdynia - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	5:0 ✺
01.09.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Znicz Pruszków - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	4:0 ✺
20.08.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Polonia Warsaw	1:0 ✺
16.08.24	ŁKS Łódź - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LTLWW
- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
15.09.24	Górnik Łęczna - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Łęczna	3:2 ✺
25.08.24	Arka Gdynia - Górnik Łęczna	1:2 ✺
18.08.24	Znicz Pruszków - Górnik Łęczna	2:3 ✺
10.08.24	Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Warsaw	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LLWWW

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