Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 7

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion MZOS Znicz (Pruszków)

Referee: Malyszek J. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Znicz Pruszków		Kotwica Kołobrzeg

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.3
	2.05	3.3	3.25
	2.05	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.04	3.47	3.63
	2.03	3.48	3.51	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.3
	2.05	3.34	3.44	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.15)	3.41 ↑ (3.28)	3.43 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Znicz Pruszków
45.9%

Draw
27.1%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27.9%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

29.5%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Znicz Pruszków - Kotwica Kołobrzeg Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Znicz will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Kotwica Kołobrzeg will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Znicz: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Misztal P. (C) 14. Okhronchuk V. 3. Wiech L. 99. Koprowski O. 7. Sokol D. 30. Nowak W. 80. Plewka P. 10. Ciepiela B. 11. Moskwik P. 9. Majewski R. 21. Stanclik D.	88. Koziol M. (G) 7. Kosakiewicz L. (C) 21. Kozajda M. 27. Welna T. 4. Polak C. 24. Oliveira F. 80. Petrovic Z. 9. Kozlowski F. 29. Bykowski M. 39. Jonathan Junior 70. Krekovic L.
Substitutes
27. Flisiuk K. 13. Imai K. 19. Karol M. 20. Kazimierczak A. 26. Kendzia F. 1. Klebaniuk B. (G) 8. Proczek T. 22. Tabara K. 5. Yukhymovych D.	77. Bieganski A. 10. Cywinski M. 6. Kort K. 14. Kostevych V. 1. Krzepisz K. (G) 16. Kurowski M. 99. Trojnarski A. 66. Witasik P. 17. Zietek L.
Coaches
Szoka G.	Tarasiewicz R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Nowak W. ⚽, Moskwik P. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Krekovic L. ↓, Bieganski A. ↑,
62', Ciepiela B. ↓, Imai K. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Wiech L. ⚽, Majewski R. (A),
72', 3 - 0, Stanclik D. ⚽,
74', Bykowski M. ↓, Kurowski M. ↑,
78', Sokol D. ↓, Proczek T. ↑,
84', Petrovic Z. ↓, Kostevych V. ↑,
84', Kosakiewicz L. ↓, Witasik P. ↑,
84', Polak C. ↓, Kort K. ↑,
86', Jonathan Junior 🟨,
86', Stanclik D. ↓, Karol M. ↑,
86', Majewski R. ↓, Kazimierczak A. ↑,
90', 4 - 0, Kazimierczak A. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Znicz won 2.

Recent matches Znicz is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kotwica Kołobrzeg is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Znicz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Znicz won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Znicz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1
22.08.24	Miedź Legnica - Znicz Pruszków	4:0 ✺
18.08.24	Znicz Pruszków - Górnik Łęczna	2:3 ✺
09.08.24	Arka Gdynia - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
04.08.24	Znicz Pruszków - Wisła Kraków	2:1 ✺
28.07.24	Ruch Chorzów - Znicz Pruszków	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LLTWT
- FC Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish Division 1
20.08.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Polonia Warsaw	1:0 ✺
16.08.24	ŁKS Łódź - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:2 ✺
11.08.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Stal Rzeszów	1:3 ✺
Polish Cup
07.08.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Skra Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
03.08.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
25.02.23	Znicz Pruszków - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:1
30.07.22	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Znicz Pruszków	2:1
21.05.16	Znicz Pruszków - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:0
30.10.15	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Znicz Pruszków	1:1
07.06.15	Znicz Pruszków - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:3
15.11.14	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Znicz Pruszków	1:1

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