Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 9

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gdyni (Gdynia)

Referee: Rasmus S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Arka Gdynia		Kotwica Kołobrzeg

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	6.5
	1.42	4.2	6.75
	1.44	4.33	7
	1.44	4.42	7.4
	1.43	4.3	7.4	Watch
	1.36	4.2	7
	1.43	4.25	6.93	Watch
	1.44	4.33	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.49)	4.28 ↑ (4.1)	7 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arka Gdynia
65.1%

Draw
21.7%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

22.7%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

22.1%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Arka Gdynia - Kotwica Kołobrzeg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Weglarz D. (G) 32. Stolc P. 23. Hermoso K. 29. Marcjanik M. 94. Gojny D. (C) 9. Gaprindashvili T. 39. Kocaba F. 19. Rzuchowski M. 27. Oliveira J. 7. Sobczak S. 10. Czubak K.	88. Koziol M. (G) 66. Witasik P. 27. Welna T. 21. Kozajda M. 7. Kosakiewicz L. (C) 22. Kostevych V. 80. Petrovic Z. 10. Cywinski M. 29. Bykowski M. 9. Kozlowski F. 24. Oliveira F.
Substitutes
20. Borecki M. 4. Dobrotka M. 1. Lenarcik P. (G) 6. Lipkowski K. 2. Navarro M. 8. Sidibe A. 21. Skora K. 14. Vitalucci H. 28. Zielinski W.	77. Bieganski A. 6. Kort K. 70. Krekovic L. 1. Krzepisz K. (G) 15. Kurowski M. 17. Zietek L.
Coaches
Grzegorczyk T.	Tarasiewicz R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', Rzuchowski M. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Hermoso K. ⚽, Gojny D. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Sobczak S. ⚽,
21', Petrovic Z. 🟨,
28', Rzuchowski M. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
39', 3 - 0, Sobczak S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Welna T. 🟨,
55', 4 - 0, Czubak K. ⚽,
59', Bykowski M. ↓, Kurowski M. ↑,
61', Oliveira J. ↓, Skora K. ↑,
61', Gaprindashvili T. ↓, Vitalucci H. ↑,
63', Witasik P. 🟨,
67', Kocaba F. 🟨,
67', Welna T. ↓, Kort K. ↑,
76', Kocaba F. ↓, Zielinski W. ↑,
76', Gojny D. ↓, Lipkowski K. ↑,
90+3', 5 - 0, Skora K. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Kotwica Kołobrzeg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arka is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arka Gdynia
Polish Division 1
30.08.24	Miedź Legnica - Arka Gdynia	1:2 ✺
25.08.24	Arka Gdynia - Górnik Łęczna	1:2 ✺
22.08.24	Arka Gdynia - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
19.08.24	Wisła Kraków - Arka Gdynia	2:2 ✺
09.08.24	Arka Gdynia - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTTT
- FC Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish Division 1
01.09.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Znicz Pruszków - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	4:0 ✺
20.08.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Polonia Warsaw	1:0 ✺
16.08.24	ŁKS Łódź - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:2 ✺
11.08.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Stal Rzeszów	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TLWWL

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