The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kozakken Boys 47.4%
Draw 25.3%
Excelsior Maassluis 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.9%
24.4%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
24%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kozakken Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kozakken Boys than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Kozakken Boys - Excelsior Maassluis Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. ten Hove R. (G) 20. den Besten D. 6. Sas T. 23. Giebels J. 5. van der Sluys D. 12. Stout G. (C) 21. Veenhoven M. 24. Damen G. 7. Hassan M. 9. Thomassen J. 10. El Khayati N.
16. El Fakiri K. (G) 2. Tureaij C. 3. Ringeling K. (C) 4. Heuvelman D. 18. de Bruijn R. 30. Hamd Y. 6. van Eerden J. 10. Bakour M. 14. Verbont J. 27. Plank D. 11. Tavares Q.
Substitutes
11. Bouyaghlafen O. 99. Fermina C. 3. Hop S. 17. Jalloh S. 16. Koorevaar J. (G) 15. Soetens S. 14. van Beekveld Q.
26. Bronder S. 20. Houwaart M. 21. Nagtegaal N. 23. Pina S. 12. Riley B. 17. Slagveer D. 1. Van der Kleij T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', van der Sluys D. ↓, Soetens S. ↑,
27', 0 - 1, Bakour M. ⚽, Tureaij C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Plank D. ↓, Nagtegaal N. ↑,
62', Veenhoven M. ↓, van Beekveld Q. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Giebels J. ⚽, El Khayati N. (A),
75', Thomassen J. ↓, Bouyaghlafen O. ↑,
75', Hassan M. ↓, Fermina C. ↑,
75', El Khayati N. ↓, Jalloh S. ↑,
77', de Bruijn R. ↓, Slagveer D. ↑,
77', Verbont J. ↓, Bronder S. ↑,
85', Tavares Q. ↓, Houwaart M. ↑,
90+1', Bakour M. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kozakken Boys won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Kozakken Boys is seen as the favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Kozakken Boys won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Kozakken Boys won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).
Watch
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ten Hove R. (G) 
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