The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excelsior Maassluis 23.6%
Draw 23.9%
HHC Hardenberg 52.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.3%
22.8%
50.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.4%
22%
52.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior Maassluis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
HHC Hardenberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HHC Hardenberg than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Excelsior Maassluis - HHC Hardenberg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. El Fakiri K. (G) 2. Tureaij C. 3. Ringeling K. (C) 5. Overman G. 8. Udenhout J. 27. Plank D. 6. van Eerden J. 30. Hamd Y. 14. Verbont J. 9. Wennekers B. 11. Tavares Q.
1. Maats J. (G) 20. Bouws D. (C) 8. Olde Weghuis T. 4. Steenvoorden M. 2. Sopacua T. 7. van Doorm S. 6. Eikelboom H. 10. Spit L. 11. Schraven J. 9. Zwikstra G. 23. Reinders T.
Substitutes
26. Bronder S. 7. Dahmani K. 4. Heuvelman D. 20. Houwaart M. 24. Lopes Varela D. 17. Slagveer D. 1. Van der Kleij T. (G)
18. Brzezowski J. 15. de Lange T. 14. Deuling S. 19. Kemna J. 25. Meier Y. (G) 17. Mink M. 22. ten Brinke N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Plank D. 🟨,
45', Hamd Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Tavares Q. ⚽, Wennekers B. (A),
59', 2 - 0, Wennekers B. (Pen),
63', Bouws D. ↓, Mink M. ↑,
64', van Doorm S. ↓, ten Brinke N. ↑,
64', Schraven J. ↓, Deuling S. ↑,
64', Reinders T. ↓, de Lange T. ↑,
74', Olde Weghuis T. ↓, Meier Y. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Wennekers B. ⚽,
77', Hamd Y. ↓, Heuvelman D. ↑,
81', 4 - 0, Tavares Q. ⚽, Wennekers B. (A),
82', Wennekers B. ↓, Houwaart M. ↑,
82', Tavares Q. ↓, Dahmani K. ↑,
82', Verbont J. ↓, Slagveer D. ↑,
85', Udenhout J. ↓, Lopes Varela D. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation) and 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, HHC is seen as the favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior Maassluis won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
Watch
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El Fakiri K. (G) 
Brzezowski J. 
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