Match Info

Date: 13 October 2021, Wednesday


	Krasnodar 2		Torpedo Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.2
	2.95	2.95	2.23
	3	3.05	2.18
	3.35	3.04	2.4
	3.25	3	2.2
	3.13	3.22	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (4.67)	3.06 ↓ (3.51)	2.26 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnodar 2
29.2%

Draw
30.1%

Torpedo Moscow
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

26.3%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

17.2%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnodar 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Krasnodar 2's performance.

Torpedo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torpedo Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar 2 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torpedo Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.3%	3.7%	21%

Krasnodar 2 - Torpedo Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Krasnodar 2 will win (votes: 61 - 75.3%). Torpedo will win (votes: 17 - 21%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krasnodar 2: 65.9% – 84.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL (Promotion)).

Krasnodar 2 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Torpedo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Torpedo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Krasnodar 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Krasnodar 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krasnodar 2
Russian FNL
09.10.21	Veles Moscow - Krasnodar 2	3:1 ✺
03.10.21	KAMAZ - Krasnodar 2	2:0 ✺
29.09.21	Krasnodar 2 - Rotor	1:1 ✺
25.09.21	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Krasnodar 2	4:1 ✺
19.09.21	Krasnodar 2 - Akron Tolyatti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTLW
- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
09.10.21	Torpedo Moscow - KAMAZ	1:1 ✺
03.10.21	Rotor - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
29.09.21	Torpedo Moscow - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1 ✺
25.09.21	Akron Tolyatti - Torpedo Moscow	1:0 ✺
19.09.21	Torpedo Moscow - Orenburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
25.11.20	Torpedo Moscow - Krasnodar 2	4:2
16.08.20	Krasnodar 2 - Torpedo Moscow	0:3
14.09.19	Torpedo Moscow - Krasnodar 2	2:1

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