Match Info

RUSSIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 29

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion Eduarda Strelcova (Moscow)

Referee: Bobrovskiy Y. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Torpedo Moscow		Orenburg

	1	X	2
	4.65	4.66	1.65
	4.5	4.5	1.63
	4.3	4.4	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↑ (4.13)	4.52 ↑ (4.2)	1.64 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Moscow
21.2%

Draw
21%

Orenburg
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

22.3%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

22.7%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Torpedo Moscow - Orenburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Torpedo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Orenburg will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Baburin E. (G) 97. Curic M. 35. Enin I. 4. Kozhemyakin O. 11. Kukharchuk I. 15. Orekhov A. 16. Reyna Y. 44. Samsonov A. 5. Shlyakov E. 30. Usanov A. 25. Yuzepchuk R.	1. Goshev E. (G) 21. Florentin G. 4. Khotulev D. 17. Kovalev Y. 80. Marin J. 7. Oganesyan S. 25. Pechenin K. 2. Poluyakhtov V. 3. Sivakov M. 38. Titkov N. 10. Vorobyev D.
Substitutes
21. Andre Felipe 51. Botnar V. (G) 39. Danilin M. 22. Erkinov K. 18. Karaev D. 49. Proshkin E. 90. Roganovic B. 7. Ryazantsev A. 24. Savic I. 9. Stefanovich I. 19. Turishchev M.	5. Ayupov T. 19. Ektov A. 55. Kaplenko K. 37. Kapustyanskiy D. 90. Kenyaykin A. (G) 9. Mansilla B. 13. Obukhov V. 22. Perez M. 99. Sysuev N. (G) 23. Vera L.
Coaches
Clotet P.	Licka M.

Preview

Torpedo has the most likely position - 16 (100%), project points - 13, currently - 11, already of relegated.

Orenburg has the most likely position - 9 (45.47%), project points - 43, currently - 40, not chance of relegated, not chance of win league.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Torpedo won 2.

Torpedo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Orenburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Orenburg is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Orenburg to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Torpedo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Torpedo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Moscow
Russian Premier League
20.05.23	Torpedo Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	0:3 ✺
13.05.23	CSKA Moscow - Torpedo Moscow	3:0 ✺
06.05.23	Torpedo Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	1:5 ✺
30.04.23	Sochi - Torpedo Moscow	3:1 ✺
22.04.23	Khimki - Torpedo Moscow	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Orenburg
Russian Premier League
20.05.23	Orenburg - Zenit	2:2 ✺
13.05.23	Ural - Orenburg	2:1 ✺
07.05.23	CSKA Moscow - Orenburg	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	Orenburg - Nizhny Novgorod	1:0 ✺
22.04.23	Fakel - Orenburg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.02.23	Torpedo Moscow - Orenburg	3:2
Russian Premier League
14.08.22	Orenburg - Torpedo Moscow	1:0
Russian FNL
02.04.22	Orenburg - Torpedo Moscow	1:0
19.09.21	Torpedo Moscow - Orenburg	2:1
10.03.21	Orenburg - Torpedo Moscow	3:0
13.09.20	Torpedo Moscow - Orenburg	1:2
03.11.13	Orenburg - Torpedo Moscow	0:2

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