The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kristiansund 25.4%
Draw 23.7%
Lillestrøm SK 51%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.9%
25.3%
43.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.5%
25%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kristiansund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kristiansund's form might have worsened.
Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lillestrøm SK's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kristiansund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lillestrøm SK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.9%
13.5%
71.6%
Kristiansund - Lillestrøm SK Predictions
Users Predictions:
73 users predict this event. Kristiansund will win (votes: 11 - 15.1%). Lillestrøm will win (votes: 52 - 71.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 13.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lillestrøm: 60.8% – 81.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lansing M. (G) 22. Sjatil H. 4. Olsen M. 6. Hopmark A. 15. Rakneberg M. 8. Alte R. 7. Segberg E. 14. Isaksen J. 16. Tufekcic D. 17. Lien K. 37. Sivertsen O.
12. Hedenstad M. (G) 16. Charles U. 4. Garnas E. B. 28. Gabrielsen R. 11. Elkaer F. 55. Krygard K. 8. Lundemo M. 23. Asen G. 17. Kitolano E. 10. Olsen T. 20. Felix Va
Substitutes
35. Aalberg I. H. 19. Alvheim L. 34. Bakeng-Rogne A. 23. Bruseth H. 33. Haugen H. 20. Igor W. 9. Mikaelsson H. 11. Nyenetue F. 12. Saether A. (G)
9. Ali J. 14. Bolly M. 30. Foss S. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 7. Ibrahimaj Y. 18. Karlin A. 21. Karlsbakk M. 64. Larsson E. 33. Skogvold H.
Coaches
Skiri A.
Asterhed R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
23', Garnas E. B. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Elkaer F. ⚽, Kitolano E. (A),
36', Lundemo M. ↓, Ibrahimaj Y. ↑,
43', 1 - 1, Rakneberg M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, Lien K. ⚽,
52', Gabrielsen R. 🟨,
65', Felix Va ↓, Karlsbakk M. ↑,
66', Charles U. ↓, Larsson E. ↑,
66', Tufekcic D. ↓, Bruseth H. ↑,
78', Rakneberg M. ↓, Mikaelsson H. ↑,
80', Krygard K. ↓, Bolly M. ↑,
90', Alte R. ↓, Igor W. ↑,
90', Lien K. ↓, Alvheim L. ↑,
90+4', Lansing M. 🟨,
Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kristiansund won 2.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Kristiansund could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Lillestrøm is a favorite.
There will not play in Kristiansund: Nyenetue F.
(Injury)
Williamsen M.
(Injury)
There will not play in Lillestrøm: Knudtzon E.
(Injury)
Ranger L.
(Injury)
Roseth M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Lillestrøm: Hoff V.
(Injury)
Solberg E.
(Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Kristiansund won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Kristiansund won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.
Norway
World
Watch
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Lansing M. (G) 
Sjatil H. 
Charles U. 
Elkaer F. 
Felix Va 
Mikaelsson H. 
Ali J. 
Bolly M. 
Ibrahimaj Y. 
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