Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 29

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Kristiansund		Raufoss

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.75	6	Watch
	1.46	4.5	5.5
	1.5	4.75	5.5	Watch
	1.48	4.85	5.97
	1.48	4.86	5.97
	1.4	4.33	5.5
	1.48	4.7	5.75	Watch
	1.46	4.5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.69)	4.66 ↑ (4.05)	5.7 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kristiansund
63.5%

Draw
20.1%

Raufoss
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

23.2%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

22.6%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristiansund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kristiansund's performance.

Raufoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kristiansund that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Kristiansund - Raufoss Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kristiansund will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kristiansund: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mbaye S. (G) 2. Nilsen S. 5. Ulvestad D. (C) 13. Olsen M. 15. Rakneberg M. 21. Broholm M. 23. Bruseth H. 17. Willumsson B. 37. Sivertsen O. 9. Stokke B. 7. Gjertsen T.	1. Lauvli O. (C) 2. Hansen A. 5. Jansson O. 4. Westerlund S. 20. Simenstad G. 10. Mettler L. 6. Emsis E. 11. Fremstad N. 3. Engebakken T. 7. Osterud A. 8. Johnsgard M.
Substitutes
35. Aalberg I. H. 38. Alemseged A. 34. Bakeng-Rogne A. 33. Haugen H. 12. Saether A. (G) 20. Wiig J. 26. Williamsen M.	15. Ampofo J. 26. Brattbakk F. 31. Fagereng A. (G) 9. Helmersen A. 22. Nelson R. 16. Orsahl J.
Coaches
Skiri A. R.	Walemark J.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Kristiansund is Qualified for OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs )

Kristiansund is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Raufoss is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Raufoss could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kristiansund is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Kristiansund to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kristiansund won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Kristiansund won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kristiansund BK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.10.23	Ranheim - Kristiansund	0:2 ✺
21.10.23	Kristiansund - Åsane	4:1 ✺
07.10.23	Hødd - Kristiansund	0:1 ✺
04.10.23	Sogndal - Kristiansund	2:4 ✺
30.09.23	Kristiansund - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWL
- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.10.23	Raufoss - Hødd	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Raufoss	0:0 ✺
07.10.23	Raufoss - Mjøndalen	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Fredrikstad - Raufoss	3:0 ✺
24.09.23	Raufoss - Sandnes Ulf	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
08.07.23	Raufoss - Kristiansund	3:2
18.09.16	Raufoss - Kristiansund	1:2
24.04.16	Kristiansund - Raufoss	2:1

Upcoming Matches