Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 4

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Kristiansund Stadion (Kristiansund)

Referee: Hagenes K. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play
World	Onefootball


	Kristiansund		Vålerenga

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.8	1.9	Watch
	3.2	3.5	2.1
	3.6	4	1.96	Watch
	3.59	4.01	1.99
	3.52	3.94	1.95	Watch
	3.25	3.5	2.1
	3.58	3.87	1.96	Watch
	3.6	4	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.1)	3.83 ↑ (3.65)	1.99 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristiansund
27.3%

Draw
24.9%

Vålerenga
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

25.5%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

24.9%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristiansund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Kristiansund - Vålerenga Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vålerenga (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Saether A. (G) 22. Hoffmann I. 4. Olsen M. 5. Ulvestad D. (C) 3. Flex F. 10. Corlu R. 20. Igor W. 8. Alte R. 16. Tufekcic D. 7. Isah M. 9. Kilen S.	21. Sjoeng M. (G) 3. Sjatil H. 55. Jarl S. 5. Tshiembe K. 27. Vinicius Nogueira 8. Bjordal H. (C) 29. Ambina F. 10. Lange C. 7. Riisnaes M. 80. Brajanac M. 24. Strand P.
Substitutes
19. Alvheim L. 25. Badou 6. Guessand A. 33. Haugen H. 21. Jelicic I. 11. Nyenetue F. 18. Odegard N. 31. Opsahl H. 40. Rod S. (G)	2. Borchgrevink C. 15. Hagen E. 6. Hedenstad V. 4. Olsen A. 23. Pallas N. 9. Rijks M. 22. Sjovold S. 11. Sorensen E. 1. Storevik J. (G)
Coaches
Skiri A.	Bakke G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Vinicius Nogueira 🟨,
10', Lange C. 🟨,
30', Ambina F. 🟨,
33', Isah M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', Brajanac M. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
64', Lange C. ↓, Hagen E. ↑,
66', Isah M. ↓, Badou ↑,
69', Corlu R. ↓, Odegard N. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Vinicius Nogueira ⚽, Bjordal H. (A),
83', Strand P. ↓, Sorensen E. ↑,
85', Kilen S. ↓, Alvheim L. ↑,
86', Igor W. ↓, Guessand A. ↑,
90+1', Sjatil H. ↓, Olsen A. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 2, Sorensen E. ⚽, Ambina F. (A),

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kristiansund won 3.

Kristiansund is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vålerenga is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vålerenga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Kristiansund have a series of guest games.

Vålerenga will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Kristiansund: Williamsen M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O. (Knock) Thorvaldsen F. (Inactive)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Kristiansund won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:16 (average 1.2:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Kristiansund won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kristiansund BK
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Nardo - Kristiansund	1:4 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
20.04.25	Tromsø - Kristiansund	2:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.04.25	Melhus - Kristiansund	1:5 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
10.04.25	Viking Stavanger - Kristiansund	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Kristiansund - Bryne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWLW
- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.04.25	Vålerenga - Rosenborg	0:2 ✺
09.04.25	Fredrikstad - Vålerenga	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Vålerenga	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Vålerenga - Viking Stavanger	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Brann - Vålerenga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
10.12.23	Vålerenga - Kristiansund	0:3 penalties
06.12.23	Kristiansund - Vålerenga	0:2
11.09.22	Kristiansund - Vålerenga	3:2
10.07.22	Vålerenga - Kristiansund	3:0
12.12.21	Kristiansund - Vålerenga	2:1
16.05.21	Vålerenga - Kristiansund	1:2
25.10.20	Vålerenga - Kristiansund	1:1

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