Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 4

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Fredrikstad Stadion (Fredrikstad)

Referee: Amland S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play
Norway	TV2 Play


	Fredrikstad		Vålerenga

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.63	Watch
	2.5	3.55	2.65	Watch
	2.58	3.75	2.73
	2.48	3.71	2.63	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.6
	2.53	3.6	2.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.37)	3.59 ↓ (3.67)	2.65 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredrikstad
37.7%

Draw
26.5%

Vålerenga
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

25.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

26%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Fredrikstad - Vålerenga Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Fredrikstad will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Vålerenga will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Borsheim M. (G) 16. Eid D. 6. Leach S. 12. Fredriksen U. 28. Owusu S. 13. Sorlokk S. 20. Ohlenschlaeger O. 24. Owusu L. 21. Shein R. R. (C) 19. Ghebreyohannes F. 9. Laghzaoui S.	1. Hedvall O. (G) 3. Sjatil H. 4. Olsen A. 37. Nasberg I. 2. Finnsson K. 28. Westergaard M. 10. Lange C. 77. Haren L. 8. Bjordal H. (C) 11. Sorensen E. 17. Grundetjern M.
Substitutes
7. Faraas B. 15. Granaas E. 17. Kvile S. 14. Nilsson M. 18. Norbye J. 10. Nunez J. 1. Ovretveit O. (G) 5. Rafn S. 23. Skogvold H.	29. Ambina F. 6. Hedenstad V. 15. Holm O. T. 9. Rajkovic G. 90. Saeter O. 21. Sjoeng M. (G) 24. Strand P. 26. Thorvaldsen F. 5. Tshiembe K.
Coaches
Hagen A.	Bakke G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Grundetjern M. ⚽, Westergaard M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sorlokk S. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
52', Owusu S. ↓, Norbye J. ↑,
53', Westergaard M. 🟨,
58', Nasberg I. 🟨,
68', Haren L. ↓, Ambina F. ↑,
68', Sorensen E. ↓, Strand P. ↑,
71', Owusu L. ↓, Skogvold H. ↑,
77', Nunez J. 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Eid D. ⚽, Nunez J. (A),
83', Laghzaoui S. ↓, Granaas E. ↑,
83', Shein R. R. ↓, Kvile S. ↑,
86', Lange C. ↓, Thorvaldsen F. ↑,
86', Grundetjern M. ↓, Saeter O. ↑,
90+5', Saeter O. 🟨,
90+6', Kvile S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 4.

In recent matches, Fredrikstad has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vålerenga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Fredrikstad: Kvile S. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Vålerenga: Jarl S. (Red Card) Ofkir M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fredrikstad: Faraas B. (Injury) Nysveen J. (Injury) Owusu S. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fredrikstad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Fredrikstad	21	8	4	9	25:32	-7	28
12	Valerenga	21	6	5	10	34:43	-9	23

Last Results with these Odds

Vålerenga - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 34.37%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
07.04.26	Aalesunds - Fredrikstad	2:3 ✺
22.03.26	Fredrikstad - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
19.03.26	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Fredrikstad	3:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
15.03.26	Tromsø - Fredrikstad	4:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
08.03.26	Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLLW
- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
06.04.26	Vålerenga - Viking Stavanger	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Rosenborg - Vålerenga	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Vålerenga - Sandefjord	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.03.26	Vålerenga - Strømsgodset	4:3 ✺
27.02.26	Rosenborg - Vålerenga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian NM Cup
23.09.25	Vålerenga - Fredrikstad	1:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
05.07.25	Vålerenga - Fredrikstad	1:1
09.04.25	Fredrikstad - Vålerenga	2:0
Norwegian NM Cup
06.10.24	Vålerenga - Fredrikstad	0:1 ET
Club Friendly
16.02.24	Vålerenga - Fredrikstad	1:3
10.03.23	Vålerenga - Fredrikstad	1:0
02.09.21	Vålerenga - Fredrikstad	2:3

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