Match Info

2. SNL - Round 28

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Portoval (Novo Mesto)


	Krka		Drava Ptuj

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.6	6.25
	1.29	5.2	7.4	Watch
	1.27	5.21	8.5
	1.31	5.24	8.96	Watch
	1.25	5.35	8.9
	1.29	5.2	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.34)	5.13 ↑ (4.84)	7.9 ↑ (7.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krka
70.6%

Draw
17.8%

Drava Ptuj
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

18.9%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

13.5%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Drava Ptuj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krka than the current prediction. (-22%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drava Ptuj than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Drava Ptuj could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Krka - Drava Ptuj Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, ⚽,
70', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krka won 4.

Recent performances by Krka have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Drava is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Drava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Krka is the clear favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Krka won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Krka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 2.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Krka
Slovenian 2 SNL
08.05.25	Bistrica - Krka	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Krka - Triglav	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Rudar Velenje - Krka	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Krka - Brinje-Grosuplje	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Beltinci - Krka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTWT
- NK Drava Ptuj
Slovenian 2 SNL
07.05.25	Drava Ptuj - Bilje	2:2 ✺
04.05.25	Tabor Sežana - Drava Ptuj	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Drava Ptuj - Slovan Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Drava Ptuj - Bistrica	0:4 ✺
13.04.25	Triglav - Drava Ptuj	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
03.11.24	Drava Ptuj - Krka	0:1
13.05.22	Krka - Drava Ptuj	5:0
24.11.21	Drava Ptuj - Krka	1:0
29.08.20	Drava Ptuj - Krka	0:2
03.08.19	Drava Ptuj - Krka	0:1
30.03.19	Krka - Drava Ptuj	2:1
07.09.18	Drava Ptuj - Krka	2:1

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