Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 33

Date: 30 May 2023, Tuesday


	Krumovgrad		Montana

	1	X	2
	1.13	6	11
	1.08	7.96	12.1
	1.15	5.5	12
	1.11	8.1	16.5	Watch
	1.15	7.4	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.66)	6.99 ↑ (3.46)	12.32 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krumovgrad
79.9%

Draw
12.8%

Montana
7.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

26.1%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

24.9%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krumovgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Krumovgrad's performance.

Montana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (-22.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krumovgrad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montana than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Krumovgrad - Montana Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Krumovgrad will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Montana will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krumovgrad: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Makendzhiev B. (G) 15. Azzi H. 4. Danchev B. 8. Iliev K. (C) 13. Manares J. 6. Nichev K. 10. Osman A. 3. Pehlivanov K. 77. Stefanov K. 33. Tasholov A. 11. Yusein O.	30. Iliev D. (G) 8. Atanasov P. 11. Damyanov B. 24. Ejike P. 22. Kamenov S. (C) 17. Karachanakov A. 5. Nikolov S. 4. Sandov M. 23. Tungarov A. 20. Valkov C. 7. Vasev A.
Substitutes
98. Bogdanov V. 2. Candidus M. 12. Milev G. (G) 14. Miljanovic D. 99. Pehlivanov Z. 71. Radev T. 9. Sorakov M. 7. Vasilev K. 20. Yashar D.	6. Georgiev I. 26. Ivanov R. 16. Onwugamba K. 12. Petrov P. (G) 25. Todorov I.

Preview

Krumovgrad is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Montana has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Krumovgrad is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Krumovgrad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Krumovgrad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krumovgrad
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
26.05.23	Botev Plovdiv II - Krumovgrad	1:3 ✺
22.05.23	Krumovgrad - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Krumovgrad - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:0 ✺
08.05.23	Ludogorets II - Krumovgrad	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Krumovgrad - Yantra Gabrovo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLT
- FC Montana
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
26.05.23	Montana - Dobrudzha Dobrich	0:1 ✺
21.05.23	Ludogorets II - Montana	3:2 ✺
13.05.23	Montana - Yantra Gabrovo	0:0 ✺
06.05.23	Sozopol - Montana	4:0 ✺
29.04.23	Montana - Maritsa Plovdiv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
07.11.22	Montana - Krumovgrad	4:1
Bulgarian Cup
17.11.21	Krumovgrad - Montana	2:3 penalties

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