Match Info

BULGARIA: PARVA LIGA - ROUND 25

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Nikola Shterev - Starika Sports Complex (Plovdiv)

Referee: Arsov S. (Bul)


	Krumovgrad		Pirin Blagoevgrad

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	6.5	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5.5
	1.66	3.6	5	Watch
	1.61	3.78	6.23
	1.6	3.78	6.23
	1.62	3.68	5.69	Watch
	1.56	3.65	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.73)	3.64 ↑ (3.64)	5.85 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krumovgrad
58.2%

Draw
25.8%

Pirin Blagoevgrad
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

25.7%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

24.6%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krumovgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Pirin Blagoevgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirin Blagoevgrad than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Krumovgrad - Pirin Blagoevgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Krumovgrad will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Pirin Blagoevgrad will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pirin Blagoevgrad: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Georgiev Y. (G) 5. Simic M. 3. Pehlivanov K. 18. Klaidher 7. Tsvetanov M. 8. Renan Areias 10. Yusein S. 2. Ali D. 13. Diego Raposo 9. Kolev A. (C) 23. Tonev D.	12. Kovalov M. (G) 18. Luzayadio A. 8. Boyanov L. 28. Jagodinskis V. 6. Yordanov A. 4. Abou A. 83. Popadiyn H. (C) 7. Donchev A. 14. Polonskyi D. 11. Tasev I. 19. Komano H.
Substitutes
21. Makendzhiev B. (G) 31. Ozee H. 30. Pehlivanov Z. 4. Santana Dos Santos L. 80. Vasilev K. 20. Yashar D. 77. Yusein O.	73. Benguzov V. 5. Bodurov N. 77. Diagne M. 20. Esalo B. 16. Georgiev M. 13. Georiev E. 1. Kirev M. (G) 29. Kostov S. 27. Varbanov G.
Coaches
Genchev S.	Babych O.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Conference League Group: ) and 14 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: )).

Krumovgrad in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pirin Blagoevgrad is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pirin Blagoevgrad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Krumovgrad is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Krumovgrad to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Krumovgrad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krumovgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
10.03.24	Levski Sofia - Krumovgrad	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Krumovgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	3:1 ✺
25.02.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Krumovgrad	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Krumovgrad - Botev Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.01.24	Korona Kielce - Krumovgrad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.4 TWWWW
- Pirin Blagoevgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
11.03.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:1 ✺
04.03.24	Arda Kardzhali - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
28.02.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
23.02.24	Botev Vratsa - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Levski Sofia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
24.09.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Krumovgrad	1:0

Krumovgrad - Pirin Blagoevgrad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide