Match Info

Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 31

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Lokomotiv (Sofia)

Referee: Ginchev G. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Lokomotiv Sofia		Krumovgrad

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.66	3.4	5
	1.66	3.5	5.2	Watch
	1.64	3.61	5.93
	1.64	3.58	5.63	Watch
	1.67	3.55	5.55	Watch
	1.66	3.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.29)	3.53 ↑ (2.92)	5.39 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Sofia
56.3%

Draw
26.4%

Krumovgrad
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

32%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

30.7%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiv Sofia's performance.

Krumovgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Krumovgrad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiv Sofia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krumovgrad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Lokomotiv Sofia - Krumovgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Krumovgrad will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Sofia: 73.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Krumovgrad (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Lyubenov A. (C) 91. Bidounga R. 44. Katsarov B. 13. Raposo C. 12. Bruno Franco 27. Galchev P. 20. Teixeira D. 31. Stanoev K. 58. Octavio 7. Delev S. 18. Dikov S.	1. Georgiev Y. (C) 14. Cova A. 25. Rabotov S. 5. Guinari P. 24. Marin L. 23. Fall M. 8. Gonzalez J. 98. Tartov G. 10. Itu C. 7. Tsvetanov M. 19. Milev N.
Substitutes
22. Ali D. 21. Chachev K. 26. Diarra M. 25. dos Santos G. 77. Manolkov E. 94. Nenov Y. 4. Orachev M. 1. Petkov D. (G) 5. Pitsolis A.	6. Alonso I. 13. Isuf A. 91. Ivanov H. 27. Keita I. 21. Makendzhiev B. (G) 44. Obissa S. 99. Sellouf A. 18. Sy S. 70. Veiga T.
Coaches
Dostanic R.	Kirilov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Dikov S. ⚽, Stanoev K. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Galchev P. ⚽, Raposo C. (A),
36', Milev N. 🟨,
38', 3 - 0, Dikov S. ⚽, Delev S. (A),
40', Marin L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Milev N. ↓, Keita I. ↑,
55', Tartov G. ↓, Veiga T. ↑,
55', Gonzalez J. ↓, Alonso I. ↑,
57', Bruno Franco ↓, Orachev M. ↑,
65', Marin L. ↓, Sy S. ↑,
67', Alonso I. 🟥,
73', Itu C. ↓, Ivanov H. ↑,
76', Octavio ↓, Pitsolis A. ↑,
76', Stanoev K. ↓, Chachev K. ↑,
81', Galchev P. ↓, dos Santos G. ↑,
81', Delev S. ↓, Nenov Y. ↑,

Preview

Lokomotiv Sofia is Parva liga (Relegation Group )

Krumovgrad is Parva liga (Relegation Group )

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Lokomotiv Sofia is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv Sofia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Lokomotiv Sofia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
18.04.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Sofia	5:0 ✺
06.04.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Slavia Sofia	3:2 ✺
02.04.25	CSKA Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Spartak Varna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWLW
- FC Krumovgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
18.04.25	Krumovgrad - CSKA Sofia	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Spartak Varna - Krumovgrad	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Krumovgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:0 ✺
03.04.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Krumovgrad	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Krumovgrad	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
01.03.25	Krumovgrad - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:2
19.10.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Krumovgrad	0:0
25.02.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Krumovgrad	0:2
26.08.23	Krumovgrad - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:0

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