Match Info

Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 33

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Nikola Shterev - Starika Sports Complex (Plovdiv)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 6


	Krumovgrad		Lokomotiv Plovdiv

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.75	2.45	Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.37
	3.2	2.85	2.43	Watch
	3.2	2.89	2.6
	3.12	2.91	2.5	Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.4
	3.11	2.99	2.47	Watch
	3.2	2.85	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.88)	2.86 ↓ (2.91)	2.46 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krumovgrad
29.3%

Draw
32.7%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

32%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

27%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krumovgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Krumovgrad's performance.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lokomotiv Plovdiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

Krumovgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Krumovgrad will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krumovgrad: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Krumovgrad (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Lokomotiv Plovdiv (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Georgiev Y. (C) 14. Cova A. 5. Guinari P. 24. Marin L. 18. Sy S. 22. Dost E. 23. Fall M. 70. Veiga T. 10. Itu C. 7. Tsvetanov M. 27. Keita I.	1. Milosavljevic B. (G) 21. Stepinski P. 3. Kostov K. 91. Segura J. 44. Lyaskov A. 6. Ivanov H. 22. Ivanov I. 99. Lamy J. 39. Umarbaev P. 9. Perea J. 14. Iliev D. (C)
Substitutes
6. Alonso I. 8. Gonzalez J. 13. Isuf A. 91. Ivanov H. 21. Makendzhiev B. (G) 19. Milev N. 44. Obissa S. 99. Sellouf A. 98. Tartov G.	20. Abreu D. 12. Ali E. 81. Ambartsumyan D. 11. Andreev P. 77. Bizjak L. 2. Bjornstad T. 19. Haydarov M. 5. Pavlov T. 10. Petkov M.
Coaches
Kirilov R.	Kosic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Segura J. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Iliev D. (Pen),
45+1', Sy S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sy S. ↓, Isuf A. ↑,
50', Umarbaev P. ↓, Ali E. ↑,
53', Dost E. ↓, Alonso I. ↑,
56', Lamy J. 🟨,
69', Fall M. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
70', Tsvetanov M. ↓, Tartov G. ↑,
75', 0 - 3, Perea J. ⚽, Lamy J. (A),
81', Lyaskov A. ↓, Bjornstad T. ↑,
82', Ivanov I. ↓, Petkov M. ↑,
82', Perea J. ↓, Bizjak L. ↑,
87', 0 - 4, Bjornstad T. ⚽,
90', Itu C. ↓, Ivanov H. ↑,
90', Lamy J. ↓, Haydarov M. ↑,

Preview

Krumovgrad has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lokomotiv Plovdiv might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Krumovgrad: Lucas Santana (Injury)

There are questionable in Krumovgrad: Dost E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Kostov K. (Injury) Peshov K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krumovgrad won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Krumovgrad won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krumovgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
01.05.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Krumovgrad	1:3 ✺
25.04.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Krumovgrad	3:0 ✺
18.04.25	Krumovgrad - CSKA Sofia	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Spartak Varna - Krumovgrad	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Krumovgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.7 WLWLW
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
02.05.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:1 ✺
28.04.25	Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Slavia Sofia	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	CSKA Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
14.03.25	Krumovgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:0
28.09.24	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Krumovgrad	0:2
10.05.24	Krumovgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	4:1
02.03.24	Krumovgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	3:1
03.09.23	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Krumovgrad	4:0

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