Match Info

Date: 2 April 2022, Saturday


	Krylya Sovetov		Ufa

	1	X	2
	2.04	3.05	3.85
	2.08	3.04	4.45
	2.1	3.32	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.95)	3.14 ↓ (3.41)	4.12 ↑ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krylya Sovetov
46.2%

Draw
30.5%

Ufa
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

27.8%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

27.2%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Krylya Sovetov - Ufa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).

Krylya Sovetov has the most likely position - 7 (23.87%), has project points - 44, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ufa has the most likely position - 16 (34.95%), has project points - 27, has currently - 18, has a good chance of relegated (69%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 39, small importance 26, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Krylya Sovetov won 0.

Krylya Sovetov is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ufa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ufa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Krylya Sovetov is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Krylya Sovetov won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Krylya Sovetov won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Krylya Sovetov Samara
Club Friendly
26.03.22	Rubin Kazan - Krylya Sovetov	0:5 ✺
Russian Premier League
20.03.22	Sochi - Krylya Sovetov	2:3 ✺
13.03.22	Krylya Sovetov - Zenit	1:1 ✺
06.03.22	Krylya Sovetov - Arsenal Tula	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.02.22	Khimki - Krylya Sovetov	3:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WWTTW
- FC Ufa
Russian Premier League
20.03.22	Ufa - Krasnodar	1:1 ✺
12.03.22	Ufa - Nizhny Novgorod	0:0 ✺
07.03.22	Zenit - Ufa	2:0 ✺
27.02.22	Akhmat Grozny - Ufa	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.02.22	Ufa - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
26.08.21	Ufa - Krylya Sovetov	1:2
30.11.19	Krylya Sovetov - Ufa	0:1
27.07.19	Ufa - Krylya Sovetov	2:1
05.05.19	Krylya Sovetov - Ufa	1:1
05.11.18	Ufa - Krylya Sovetov	1:2
11.03.17	Ufa - Krylya Sovetov	1:0
26.08.16	Krylya Sovetov - Ufa	0:1

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