The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sochi 34.5%
Draw 27.8%
Krylya Sovetov 37.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
26.3%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
25.9%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Krylya Sovetov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
62.5%
25%
Sochi - Krylya Sovetov Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Krylya Sovetov will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Degtev A. (G) 3. Soldatenkov A. 33. Marcelo Alves (C) 4. Litvinov V. 28. Magal R. 14. Kravtsov K. 16. Mukhin M. 17. Makarchuk A. 29. Ezhov R. 98. Iljin V. 8. Ignatov M.
30. Pesjakov S. (C) 22. Fernando Costanza 5. Oroz D. 24. Evgenyev R. 2. Pechenin K. 6. Babkin S. 8. Vityugov M. 15. Rasskazov N. 77. Akhmetov I. 19. Oleynikov I. 11. Rahmanovic A.
Substitutes
59. Bart R. 99. Dyupin Y. (G) 9. Fedorov Z. 23. Furtado G. 45. Kamano F. 18. Korneev A. 11. Meleshin P. 66. Metsiev A. 85. Silev D. (G) 20. Vasiljev D. 82. Volkov S. 7. Zinkovskiy A.
39. Frolov E. (G) 3. Galdames T. 91. Ignatenko V. 10. Khubulov V. 80. Kokarev N. (G) 18. Lepskii I. 26. Marin J. 31. Requena G. 70. Shumansky A. 20. Stolbov K. 9. Sutormin A.
Coaches
Osinkin I.
Bulatov S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Oleynikov I. ⚽, Akhmetov I. (A),
37', Pesjakov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Marcelo Alves ⚽,
61', Pechenin K. 🟨,
61', Litvinov V. 🟨,
63', Babkin S. 🟨,
64', Kravtsov K. ↓, Vasiljev D. ↑,
64', Iljin V. ↓, Fedorov Z. ↑,
64', Magal R. ↓, Furtado G. ↑,
72', Rasskazov N. ↓, Lepskii I. ↑,
76', Evgenyev R. 🟨,
77', Ignatov M. ↓, Kamano F. ↑,
81', Akhmetov I. ↓, Stolbov K. ↑,
82', Mukhin M. ↓, Zinkovskiy A. ↑,
82', Babkin S. 🟨,
86', Vityugov M. ↓, Galdames T. ↑,
86', Rahmanovic A. ↓, Shumansky A. ↑,
90+7', Galdames T. 🟥,
90+9', Oleynikov I. 🟨,
90+9', 2 - 1, Marcelo Alves ⚽, Zinkovskiy A. (A),
90+10', Marcelo Alves 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 1.
Sochi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Krylya Sovetov is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Sochi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Krylya Sovetov has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Sochi: Chirkov M.
(Inactive)
Stojic N.
(Inactive)
Zaika K.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Banjac M.
(Yellow Cards)
Bozhin S.
(Yellow Cards)
Chernov N.
(Yellow Cards)
Sutormin A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Sochi: Ignatov M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Krylya Sovetov: Geoffrey C.
(Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 0.8:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).