The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ufa 39.5%
Draw 30.1%
Krasnodar 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.5%
28.8%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.3%
19.9%
45.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Ufa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ufa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+15.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krasnodar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ufa - Krasnodar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 5).
Ufa has the most likely position - 16 (31.57%), has project points - 27, has currently - 17, has a good chance of relegated (69%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Krasnodar has the most likely position - 4 (25.17%), has project points - 52, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (12%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
This event has quality42, importance43, match rating43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ufa won 0.
Recent matches Ufa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Krasnodar is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ufa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Ufa won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 8-20.
Including matches at home between the teams Ufa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-11.
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