Match Info

FNL - Round 15

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: BetBoom Arena (Ufa) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Mashlyakevich A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belarus	14:00	Sport TV


	Ufa		Nizhny Novgorod

	1	X	2
	5.74	4.14	1.58
	5.6	4.1	1.54
	5.34	4.07	1.63	Watch
	4.8	3.8	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.37 ↑ (4.83)	4.03 ↑ (3.55)	1.57 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ufa
17.4%

Draw
23.2%

Nizhny Novgorod
59.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.4%

26.4%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

26.2%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Nizhny Novgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nizhny Novgorod's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Ufa - Nizhny Novgorod Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ufa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Nizhny Novgorod will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belenov A. (C) 5. Kutin D. 99. Evdokimov A. 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 2. Cherov V. 9. Lipovoy D. 8. Isaev S. 6. Tarba Z. 11. Yakuev M. 70. Ortiz D. 88. Ageyan M.	30. Medvedev N. (C) 22. Kakkoev N. 2. Aleksandrov V. 66. Gudkov Y. 17. Shilnikov G. 18. Sokolov A. 78. Kalinski N. 19. Ermakov N. 11. Popolitov G. 9. Sarveli V. 27. Grulev V.
Substitutes
14. Agapov I. 23. Akhatov D. 7. Davlitgereev A. 10. Gongadze G. 15. Khabalov A. 69. Khanenko I. 1. Kraykov T. (G) 19. Mayorov E. 17. Ozmanov D. 20. Shipunov T. 79. Troyanov K. 22. Yusupov Z.	7. Bober I. 4. Evgenyev R. 98. Imamov I. (G) 25. Karic S. 3. Koledin Y. 72. Komissarov T. 93. Lapinsky S. 8. Maiga M. 94. Timofeev A. 80. Tsarukyan V.
Coaches
Tetradze O.	Garanin V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Tarba Z. 🟨,
42', Popolitov G. 🟨,
43', Lipovoy D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Aleksandrov V. 🟨,
59', Shilnikov G. ↓, Koledin Y. ↑,
59', Sokolov A. ↓, Bober I. ↑,
77', Ortiz D. ↓, Gongadze G. ↑,
77', Isaev S. ↓, Yusupov Z. ↑,
78', Popolitov G. ↓, Komissarov T. ↑,
78', Ermakov N. ↓, Maiga M. ↑,
83', Ageyan M. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
89', Sarveli V. ↓, Lapinsky S. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 1, Kalinski N. ⚽,
90+1', Lipovoy D. ↓, Troyanov K. ↑,
90+1', Yakuev M. ↓, Agapov I. ↑,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th and 1st in the Promotion - Premier League).

Ufa has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Nizhny Novgorod is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Nizhny Novgorod may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Nizhny Novgorod for this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Ufa has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 0.8:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ufa against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Pari NN	15	13	1	1	44:15	29	40
9	Ufa	15	5	6	4	18:15	3	21

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Ufa: 0.8%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ufa
Russian FNL
17.10.26	Ufa - Arsenal Tula	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Sochi - Ufa	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Ufa - Torpedo Moscow	0:0 ✺
18.09.26	Chelyabinsk - Ufa	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Ufa - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLTLT
- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian FNL
18.10.26	Ural - Nizhny Novgorod	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
14.10.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Shinnik	4:0 ✺
Russian FNL
10.10.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	5:0 ✺
17.09.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Leningradets	6:0 ✺
13.09.26	Torpedo Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.06.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Ufa	2:1
Russian Premier League
12.03.22	Ufa - Nizhny Novgorod	0:0
14.08.21	Nizhny Novgorod - Ufa	1:2
Russian Cup
26.09.18	Nizhny Novgorod - Ufa	1:0 penalties

Upcoming Matches