Match Info

UKRAINE: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 28

Date: 25 May 2023, Thursday

Location: Girnyk (Kryvyj Rih)

Referee: Derdo O. (Ukr)


	Kryvbas		Metalist Kharkiv

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.8	7
	1.37	4.5	6.75
	1.39	4.92	7.69
	1.35	4.33	7.5
	1.37	4.95	7.8	Watch
	1.37	4.8	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.81)	4.72 ↑ (3.7)	7.29 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kryvbas
67.6%

Draw
19.7%

Metalist Kharkiv
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

25.8%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

24.9%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kryvbas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kryvbas's performance.

Metalist Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metalist Kharkiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kryvbas than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kryvbas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metalist Kharkiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	7.1%	21.4%

Kryvbas - Metalist Kharkiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kryvbas will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Metalist will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kryvbas: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga).

Recent matches Kryvbas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Metalist is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Kryvbas is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kryvbas won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Kryvbas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kryvbas
Ukrainian Premier League
19.05.23	Vorskla Poltava - Kryvbas	1:0 ✺
14.05.23	Kryvbas - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
08.05.23	Kryvbas - Dynamo Kyiv	0:1 ✺
04.05.23	Inhulets - Kryvbas	0:0 ✺
29.04.23	Kryvbas - Oleksandriya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLTW
- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
21.05.23	Kharkiv - Metalist Kharkiv	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Zorya Luhansk	0:5 ✺
07.05.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Lviv	1:0 ✺
03.05.23	Dnipro-1 - Metalist Kharkiv	5:0 ✺
28.04.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Dynamo Kyiv	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
14.11.22	Metalist Kharkiv - Kryvbas	0:1
Ukrainian Persha Liga
26.09.21	Kryvbas - Metalist Kharkiv	0:5
Ukrainian Premier League
31.03.13	Kryvbas - Metalist Kharkiv	1:1
26.08.12	Metalist Kharkiv - Kryvbas	3:1
01.04.12	Metalist Kharkiv - Kryvbas	1:1

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