Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Girnyk (Kryvyj Rih)

Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Kryvbas		Polissya Zhytomyr

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	3.3	2.25
	3.1	3.25	2.18
	2.91	3.3	2.27
	3.45	3.38	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.3)	3.31 ↑ (3.05)	2.24 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kryvbas
30%

Draw
28.2%

Polissya Zhytomyr
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30.2%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

29.3%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kryvbas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kryvbas's form might have worsened.

Polissya Zhytomyr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polissya Zhytomyr's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kryvbas than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kryvbas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polissya Zhytomyr, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kryvbas - Polissya Zhytomyr Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kryvbas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Polissya (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kryvbas (votes: 1 - 50%). Polissya (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kemkin O. (G) 2. Jurcec J. 6. Konate B. 4. Vilivald V. 5. Bekavac A. 27. Araujo A. 94. Zaderaka M. (C) 11. Tverdokhlib Y. 18. Lin B. 9. Paraco C. 7. Mendoza G.	23. Volynets Y. (G) 4. Kravchenko M. 44. Chobotenko S. 5. Sarapiy E. 15. Mykhaylichenko B. 22. Veleten V. 19. Shepelev V. 8. Babenko R. (C) 18. Andriyevski O. 7. Nazarenko O. 9. Filippov O.
Substitutes
26. Flores J. 17. Gonzalez M. 21. Kamensky O. 1. Khoma B. (G) 61. Kononikhin I. 30. Makhankov V. (G) 24. Mulyk V. 10. Mykytyshyn A. 19. Ndombasi N. 3. Rojas C. 8. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych Y. 16. Thiago Borges	13. Beskorovaynyi D. 45. Bragaru M. 21. Bushchan G. (G) 89. Gayduchyk M. 40. Goncalves A. 94. Hryshkevych D. 1. Kudryk O. (G) 30. Lednev B. 31. Maisuradze G. 29. Tomandzoto B. 70. Yoka J. D. 10. Yosefi T.
Coaches
van Leeuwen P.	Rotan R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Bekavac A. 🟨,
34', Filippov O. 🟨,
45+1', Mendoza G. 🟨,
45+2', Babenko R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Sarapiy E. 🟨,
62', Andriyevski O. 🟨,
63', Shepelev V. ↓, Yosefi T. ↑,
63', Filippov O. ↓, Gayduchyk M. ↑,
63', Nazarenko O. ↓, Bragaru M. ↑,
64', Lin B. ↓, Mykytyshyn A. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Gayduchyk M. ⚽, Yosefi T. (A),
83', Paraco C. ↓, Shevchenko Volodymyrovych Y. ↑,
83', Mendoza G. ↓, Kamensky O. ↑,
83', Andriyevski O. ↓, Tomandzoto B. ↑,
90+2', Mykhaylichenko B. ↓, Maisuradze G. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kryvbas won 1.

Kryvbas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Polissya has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Polissya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Polissya might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Kryvbas will win today's game, with odds of 3.09.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kryvbas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kryvbas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kryvbas
Ukrainian Premier League
30.08.25	Kryvbas - Obolon	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.08.25	Kulykiv-Bilka - Kryvbas	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
18.08.25	Zorya Luhansk - Kryvbas	2:3 ✺
09.08.25	Kryvbas - Kharkiv	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Kryvbas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWL
- Polissya Zhytomyr
Ukrainian Premier League
31.08.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Polissya Zhytomyr	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Fiorentina - Polissya Zhytomyr	3:2 ✺
21.08.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Fiorentina	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
17.08.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - LNZ Cherkasy	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Paksi SE - Polissya Zhytomyr	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
25.05.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kryvbas	1:1
30.11.24	Kryvbas - Polissya Zhytomyr	3:1
Ukrainian Cup
30.10.24	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kryvbas	2:1
Ukrainian Premier League
13.05.24	Kryvbas - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:1
06.11.23	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kryvbas	1:1
Ukrainian Persha Liga
23.10.21	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kryvbas	1:2

Upcoming Matches