Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Futbal Tatran Aréna (Prešov)

Referee: Aghayev A. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno


	Polissya Zhytomyr		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	7.5	5.25	1.29	Watch
	7.5	4.6	1.36
	9.8	5.4	1.27	Watch
	10.75	5.48	1.3
	6.90	4.48	1.40	Watch
	9.7	5.36	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.69 ↑ (6.9)	5.1 ↑ (4.48)	1.33 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Polissya Zhytomyr
10.8%

Draw
18.4%

Fiorentina
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

20.6%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

20%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polissya Zhytomyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.4%	6.9%	89.7%

Polissya Zhytomyr - Fiorentina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fiorentina will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fiorentina will win (14 of 18 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kudryk O. (G) 4. Kravchenko M. 44. Chobotenko S. 5. Sarapiy E. 58. Korniychuk S. 30. Lednev B. 8. Babenko R. (C) 18. Andriyevski O. 11. Gutsulyak O. 9. Filippov O. 7. Nazarenko O.	43. de Gea D. (G) 15. Comuzzo P. 5. Pongracic M. 6. Ranieri L. (C) 2. Dodo 7. Sohm S. 44. Fagioli N. 21. Gosens R. 27. Ndour C. 20. Kean M. 10. Gudmundsson A.
Substitutes
13. Beskorovaynyi D. 89. Gayduchyk M. 40. Goncalves A. 34. Joao Vialle 38. Karaman Y. 50. Mykytyuk Y. 6. Talles Costa 99. Uliganets V. (G) 23. Volynets Y. (G)	61. Braschi R. 9. Dzeko E. 22. Fazzini J. 29. Fortini N. 60. Kouadio E. 1. Lezzerini L. (G) 18. Mari P. 30. Martinelli T. (G) 65. Parisi F. 24. Richardson A. 11. Sabiri A. 26. Viti M.
Coaches
Rotan R.	Pioli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Kudryk O. (Own goal), Kean M. (A),
32', 0 - 2, Gosens R. ⚽, Kean M. (A),
39', Gosens R. 🟨,
44', Kean M. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Korniychuk S. 🟨,
60', Korniychuk S. ↓, Goncalves A. ↑,
60', Filippov O. ↓, Gayduchyk M. ↑,
69', 0 - 3, Gudmundsson A. ⚽,
70', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
76', Gosens R. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
76', Sohm S. ↓, Sabiri A. ↑,
76', Andriyevski O. ↓, Talles Costa ↑,
83', Sarapiy E. ↓, Beskorovaynyi D. ↑,
83', Chobotenko S. ↓, Joao Vialle ↑,
86', Ndour C. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
86', Ranieri L. ↓, Viti M. ↑,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Futbal Tatran Aréna.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Polissya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Fiorentina has had a series of away games.

In this match, Fiorentina is the obvious favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polissya Zhytomyr
Ukrainian Premier League
17.08.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - LNZ Cherkasy	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Paksi SE - Polissya Zhytomyr	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
10.08.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kolos Kovalivka	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Paksi SE	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
03.08.25	Karpaty Lviv - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWW
- Fiorentina
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Manchester United - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
05.08.25	Nottingham Forest - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Leicester City - Fiorentina	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Fiorentina - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Grosseto - Fiorentina	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTLWW

Upcoming Matches