Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 14 August 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Fehérvári úti stadion (Paks) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Hungary	19:00	Duna World / M4 Sport +
Ukraine	20:00	Kyivstar TV


	Paksi SE		Polissya Zhytomyr

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.75	3.1	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.2
	2.02	3.55	3.25	Watch
	2.06	3.6	3.25
	2.29	3.47	2.91	Watch
	2.19	3.58	3.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.06)	3.54 ↓ (3.55)	3.16 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paksi SE
44.1%

Draw
26.4%

Polissya Zhytomyr
29.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.2%

26.3%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

26%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Polissya Zhytomyr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.6%	13%	17.4%

Paksi SE - Polissya Zhytomyr Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Paks will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Polissya will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paks: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Paks (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Polissya (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacsik A. (G) 26. Szekszardi M. 2. Kinyik A. 30. Szabo J. 17. Hinora K. 22. Windecker J. 5. Vecsei B. 20. Zeke M. 10. Haraszti Z. 13. Bode D. (C) 29. Toth B.	23. Volynets Y. (G) 4. Kravchenko M. 5. Sarapiy E. 13. Beskorovaynyi D. 55. Krushynskyi B. 18. Andriyevski O. 8. Babenko R. (C) 30. Lednev B. 11. Gutsulyak O. 9. Filippov O. 7. Nazarenko O.
Substitutes
3. Debreceni A. 27. Galambos J. 18. Gyurkits G. 9. Hahn J. 19. Horvath K. 24. Lenzser B. 11. Osvath A. 21. Papp K. 23. Peto M. 14. Silye E. 25. Simon B. (G) 15. Szendrei A.	44. Chobotenko S. 89. Gayduchyk M. 40. Goncalves A. 2. Hadroj A. 60. Melnychenko M. 50. Mykytyuk Y. 6. Talles Costa 99. Uliganets V. (G) 10. Yosefi T.
Coaches
Bognar G.	Rotan R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Szekszardi M. 🟨,
19', Beskorovaynyi D. 🟨,
38', Kravchenko M. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Szabo J. ⚽, Toth B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, Toth B. ⚽, Bode D. (A),
56', Lednev B. ↓, Yosefi T. ↑,
56', Beskorovaynyi D. ↓, Chobotenko S. ↑,
56', Filippov O. ↓, Gayduchyk M. ↑,
69', Haraszti Z. ↓, Papp K. ↑,
69', Bode D. ↓, Hahn J. ↑,
79', Szekszardi M. ↓, Lenzser B. ↑,
79', Windecker J. ↓, Peto M. ↑,
80', Volynets Y. 🟨,
87', Hinora K. ↓, Osvath A. ↑,
89', Nazarenko O. ↓, Goncalves A. ↑,
89', Osvath A. 🟨,
90+3', Andriyevski O. ↓, Talles Costa ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Goncalves A. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-3. 2nd leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Paks has had a series of away games.

Paks will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paks won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I
10.08.25	Ujpest - Paksi SE	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Paksi SE	3:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
03.08.25	Kisvárda - Paksi SE	1:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Maribor - Paksi SE	1:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
27.07.25	Paksi SE - Győri ETO	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWTT
- Polissya Zhytomyr
Ukrainian Premier League
10.08.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kolos Kovalivka	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Paksi SE	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
03.08.25	Karpaty Lviv - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	FC Santa Coloma - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:4 ✺
24.07.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - FC Santa Coloma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Paksi SE	3:0

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