Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8


	Fiorentina		Polissya Zhytomyr

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.75	8.5	Watch
	1.22	6.25	9.75
	1.24	5.9	9.3	Watch
	1.3	5.4	9.88
	2.14	3.75	2.99	Watch
	1.22	5.8	11
	1.26	5.96	12	Watch
	1.17	6.2	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.18)	5.63 ↓ (6)	9.43 ↓ (12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
72.3%

Draw
17.3%

Polissya Zhytomyr
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.2%

15.2%

7.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Polissya Zhytomyr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	20%	5%

Fiorentina - Polissya Zhytomyr Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Polissya will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 60.6% – 97.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Polissya (3.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Fiorentina (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Fiorentina (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Fiorentina (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fiorentina will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Polissya (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. de Gea D. (G) 15. Comuzzo P. 18. Mari P. 26. Viti M. 2. Dodo 44. Fagioli N. 8. Mandragora R. (C) 65. Parisi F. 22. Fazzini J. 9. Dzeko E. 27. Ndour C.	1. Kudryk O. (G) 4. Kravchenko M. 44. Chobotenko S. 5. Sarapiy E. 15. Mykhaylichenko B. 6. Talles Costa 8. Babenko R. (C) 18. Andriyevski O. 11. Gutsulyak O. 9. Filippov O. 7. Nazarenko O.
Substitutes
61. Braschi R. 29. Fortini N. 21. Gosens R. 10. Gudmundsson A. 60. Kouadio E. 1. Lezzerini L. (G) 30. Martinelli T. (G) 5. Pongracic M. 6. Ranieri L. 24. Richardson A. 11. Sabiri A. 7. Sohm S.	13. Beskorovaynyi D. 89. Gayduchyk M. 40. Goncalves A. 34. Joao Vialle 38. Karaman Y. 58. Korniychuk S. 30. Lednev B. 50. Mykytyuk Y. 99. Uliganets V. (G) 23. Volynets Y. (G)
Coaches
Pioli S.	Rotan R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Nazarenko O. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Andriyevski O. ⚽,
45', Talles Costa 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Ndour C. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
46', Parisi F. ↓, Gosens R. ↑,
56', Talles Costa ↓, Lednev B. ↑,
65', Comuzzo P. ↓, Pongracic M. ↑,
65', Mandragora R. ↓, Sohm S. ↑,
68', Filippov O. ↓, Gayduchyk M. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Dodo ⚽, Gosens R. (A),
81', Babenko R. ↓, Karaman Y. ↑,
81', Nazarenko O. ↓, Goncalves A. ↑,
81', Kravchenko M. ↓, Korniychuk S. ↑,
84', Karaman Y. 🟨,
86', Viti M. ↓, Ranieri L. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Ranieri L. ⚽, Gosens R. (A),
89', 3 - 2, Dzeko E. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 3-0. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore.

Recent performances by Fiorentina have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Polissya has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Fiorentina has had a series of away games.

Recently, Polissya has had a series of home games.

In this match, Fiorentina is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
24.08.25	Cagliari - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Fiorentina	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Manchester United - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
05.08.25	Nottingham Forest - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Leicester City - Fiorentina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTTL
- Polissya Zhytomyr
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Fiorentina	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
17.08.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - LNZ Cherkasy	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Paksi SE - Polissya Zhytomyr	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
10.08.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kolos Kovalivka	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Paksi SE	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Fiorentina	0:3

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