The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kunming City 26%
Draw 29.4%
Jiangxi Lushan 44.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.6%
27%
51.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.1%
26.3%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kunming City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jiangxi Lushan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kunming City than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jiangxi Lushan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kunming City - Jiangxi Lushan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hao Kesen (C) 5. Tang Daozheng 2. Ou L. 26. Bi Haoyang 30. Zhang J. 24. Song X. 42. Sun Z. 6. Ablimit Subi 14. Tian Li 50. Hou Yingcheng 17. Qi Long
12. Li Chen (G) 6. Xu Yougang (C) 16. Sun Yunlong 25. Li Chenguang 20. Liu G. 33. Wang Haisheng 31. Bai Zijian 15. Xu Lei 14. Chen Yunhua 49. Luo B. 44. Abdukerim Qaharman
Substitutes
10. Cao Enze 23. Chen Anqi (G) 47. Gong Z. 8. Hu H. 7. Li G. 21. Wang Jiaqi 3. Wang S. 35. Wu Zeyu. (G) 27. Yang H. 45. Zhang F. 52. Zhang R. 49. Zhang Zhijie
8. Pan Yuchen 60. Qurban W. 29. Tang Zhiheng 3. Wang Hongbin 56. Yin Jun (G) 47. Zhou Jingxiang 4. Zhu Mingxin
Coaches
Zhu Jiong
Wang W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Qi Long ⚽, Sun Z. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Luo B. ↓, Wang Hongbin ↑,
46', Xu Lei ↓, Pan Yuchen ↑,
58', Abdukerim Qaharman ↓, Qurban W. ↑,
63', Sun Yunlong ↓, Tang Zhiheng ↑,
67', Hou Yingcheng ↓, Yang H. ↑,
74', Qi Long ↓, Wang S. ↑,
74', Sun Z. ↓, Gong Z. ↑,
82', Song X. ↓, Zhang R. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Ablimit Subi (Pen),
87', Zhang J. 🟨,
90+1', Chen Yunhua ↓, Zhou Jingxiang ↑,
90+3', Tian Li ↓, Cao Enze ↑,
Preview
Recent form of Kunming City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Jiangxi Lushan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Jiangxi Lushan is considered a favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kunming City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Kunming City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).
China
Watch
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Hao Kesen (C) 
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