Match Info

Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 25

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Yunnan Kehua Football Training Base Stadium (Kunming)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Kunming City		Taian Tiankuang

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	2.87	2
	3.93	2.88	2
	3.78	2.94	2.02
	3.1	3.05	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.3)	2.94 ↓ (3.05)	2.04 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kunming City
25%

Draw
30.7%

Taian Tiankuang
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

30%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

28.9%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kunming City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Taian Tiankuang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kunming City than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taian Tiankuang than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Kunming City - Taian Tiankuang Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hao Kesen (C) 13. Yao Zhiyu 5. Tang Daozheng 2. Ou L. 3. Wang S. 17. Qi Long 6. Ablimit Subi 8. Hu H. 24. Song X. 42. Sun Z. 50. Hou Yingcheng	1. Wang Meng (G) 14. Hai Xiaorui 18. Yue Zhilei (C) 5. Nihmat Nihat 16. Yangyang Ma 8. Yuan Xiuqi 2. Yao Daogang 52. Wang Bohan 11. Tan Fucheng 6. Tang Qirun 22. Bai Tianci
Substitutes
26. Bi Haoyang 10. Cao Enze 23. Chen Anqi (G) 47. Gong Z. 7. Li G. 14. Tian Li 21. Wang Jiaqi 35. Wu Zeyu. (G) 27. Yang H. 45. Zhang F. 52. Zhang R. 49. Zhang Zhijie	21. An Shuo 32. Gao Shuo 56. Lai J. 28. Memet-Ali Memet-Raim 24. Wang Kailong (G) 23. Xie W. 27. Yang Xudong 60. Zhan H.
Coaches
Zhu Jiong	Dimitrijevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Song X. ↓, Yang H. ↑,
54', Tang Qirun ↓, Memet-Ali Memet-Raim ↑,
68', Wang Bohan ↓, Lai J. ↑,
68', Bai Tianci ↓, Yang Xudong ↑,
69', Hou Yingcheng ↓, Gong Z. ↑,
69', Qi Long ↓, Tian Li ↑,
70', Nihmat Nihat 🟨,
72', 1 - 0, Yao Zhiyu ⚽, Tian Li (A),
79', Wang S. ↓, Bi Haoyang ↑,
85', Tan Fucheng ↓, An Shuo ↑,
88', Hu H. 🟨,
90+4', Nihmat Nihat 🟥,
90+6', Hai Xiaorui 🟨,
90+7', Sun Z. ↓, Wang Jiaqi ↑,
90+9', Tian Li 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kunming City won 1.

Recent form of Kunming City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Taian Tiankuang is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Taian Tiankuang is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kunming City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1.2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kunming City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kunming City FC
Chinese Yi League
31.08.25	Kunming City - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	Jiangxi Lushan - Kunming City	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Kunming City - Guangxi Hengchen	0:3 ✺
27.07.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Kunming City	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Wuhan Three Towns B - Kunming City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLTL
- Taian Tiankuang
Chinese Yi League
30.08.25	Taian Tiankuang - Guangxi Lanhang	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Wuhan Three Towns B - Taian Tiankuang	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Taian Tiankuang - Hubei Istar	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Beijing Institute of Technology - Taian Tiankuang	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	Taian Tiankuang - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
29.09.24	Taian Tiankuang - Kunming City	3:1
24.08.24	Kunming City - Taian Tiankuang	2:2
16.09.23	Taian Tiankuang - Kunming City	1:2
19.08.23	Kunming City - Taian Tiankuang	0:2
30.07.22	Taian Tiankuang - Kunming City	4:1
07.07.22	Kunming City - Taian Tiankuang	1:2

Kunming City - Taian Tiankuang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide