Match Info

Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 23

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Ruichang Sports Park Stadium (Jiujiang)


	Jiangxi Lushan		Kunming City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	3.5	5.5
	1.55	3.55	5.5	Watch
	1.53	3.62	5.92
	1.53	3.64	5.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.53)	3.58 ↓ (3.74)	5.7 ↑ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiangxi Lushan
58.9%

Draw
25.3%

Kunming City
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

24.3%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

23.6%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Kunming City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kunming City than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Jiangxi Lushan - Kunming City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Li Chen (C) 13. Zhang Yanjun 22. Li Jiahao 6. Xu Yougang 14. Chen Yunhua 7. Sun Yue 18. Song Yi 60. Qurban W. 4. Zhu Mingxin 10. Abdusalam S. 44. Abdukerim Qaharman	23. Chen Anqi (C) 13. Yao Zhiyu 5. Tang Daozheng 3. Wang S. 2. Ou L. 30. Zhang J. 6. Ablimit Subi 8. Hu H. 24. Song X. 47. Gong Z. 27. Yang H.
Substitutes
31. Bai Zijian 25. Li Chenguang 20. Liu G. 8. Pan Yuchen 16. Sun Yunlong 29. Tang Zhiheng 33. Wang Haisheng 3. Wang Hongbin 26. Wang J. 15. Xu Lei 56. Yin Jun (G) 47. Zhou Jingxiang	10. Cao Enze 1. Hao Kesen (G) 50. Hou Yingcheng 7. Li G. 42. Sun Z. 14. Tian Li 49. Zhang Zhijie
Coaches
Yue S.	Liu Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Zhang Yanjun ⚽, Zhu Mingxin (A),
41', Abdusalam S. 🟨,
45+5', Yao Zhiyu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Song X. ↓, Tian Li ↑,
46', Gong Z. ↓, Sun Z. ↑,
46', Abdukerim Qaharman ↓, Li Chenguang ↑,
69', Qurban W. ↓, Zhou Jingxiang ↑,
70', Sun Yue ↓, Pan Yuchen ↑,
76', Song Yi ↓, Tang Zhiheng ↑,
83', Yang H. ↓, Zhang Zhijie ↑,
83', Hu H. ↓, Hou Yingcheng ↑,
84', Wang S. ↓, Li G. ↑,
86', Hou Yingcheng 🟨,
90+1', Li Jiahao ↓, Wang Haisheng ↑,
90+5', Li Chenguang ↓, Wang Hongbin ↑,
90+7', Hou Yingcheng 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Jiangxi Lushan have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kunming City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Jiangxi Lushan is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jiangxi Lushan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Yi League
02.08.25	Jiangxi Lushan - Shandong Taishan B	1:3 ✺
26.07.25	Hubei Istar - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Jiangxi Lushan - Nantong Haimen Codion	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Jiangxi Lushan - Lanzhou Longyuan	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Taian Tiankuang - Jiangxi Lushan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLWW
- Kunming City FC
Chinese Yi League
03.08.25	Kunming City - Guangxi Hengchen	0:3 ✺
27.07.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Kunming City	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Wuhan Three Towns B - Kunming City	1:0 ✺
13.07.25	Kunming City - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Shenzhen - Kunming City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese FA Cup
17.05.24	Kunming City - Jiangxi Lushan	1:4
31.05.23	Kunming City - Jiangxi Lushan	1:2

Jiangxi Lushan - Kunming City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide