Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 25

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Tabasalu Arena (Tabasalu)


	Tabasalu		Kuressaare U21

	1	X	2
	1.43	5.25	4.4
	1.55	4.95	3.85
	1.55	5.09	3.72
	1.58	4.7	3.96
	1.42	5.05	5.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.31)	5.01 ↓ (5.75)	4.2 ↓ (5.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tabasalu
60.3%

Draw
18.1%

Kuressaare U21
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

15.7%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

14.9%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tabasalu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tabasalu's form might have worsened.

Kuressaare U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kuressaare U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tabasalu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuressaare U21 than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kuressaare U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tabasalu - Kuressaare U21 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tabasalu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kristel R. (G) 42. Soopalu S. 16. Pelt K. 14. Moor A. 7. Pormeister K. 66. Salei S. (C) 4. Kokla J. 10. Lindemann R. 32. Anepaio A. 77. Roste R. 24. Sarapuu A.	66. Meesit R. (G) 15. Kahju K. M. 73. Orren K. 3. Leedo K. 80. Tarkmeel R. 8. Vapper K. 41. Opp M. (C) 6. Jalak R. 7. Jermatsenko A. 77. Tasa T. 13. Visse A.
Substitutes
76. Altmets K. 12. Ilves R. (G) 45. Masing M. 5. Nilsen J. 25. Paap S. 17. Riigov R. 80. Taal J.	44. Arikas H. 4. Kobin M. 72. Lohmus R. 25. Lonks J. 29. Oispuu M. 12. Vahenurm R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Opp M. ⚽,
41', 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 🟨,
76', 0 - 2, Lohmus R. ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Tabasalu have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kuressaare U21 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Tabasalu is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tabasalu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Tabasalu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
16.08.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tabasalu	3:1 ✺
09.08.25	Tartu Kalev - Tabasalu	1:1 ✺
01.08.25	Tabasalu - Narva Trans U21	1:0 ✺
Estonian Cup
25.07.25	Tammeka - Tabasalu	6:0 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga B
21.07.25	Tabasalu - Läänemaa Haapsalu	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTWLW
- Kuressaare U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
17.08.25	Kuressaare U21 - Tartu Kalev	0:4 ✺
10.08.25	Nõmme United U21 - Kuressaare U21	0:3 ✺
02.08.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Kuressaare U21	6:2 ✺
26.07.25	Kuressaare U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:3 ✺
13.07.25	Kuressaare U21 - Narva Trans U21	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
29.05.25	Tabasalu - Kuressaare U21	2:1

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