Match Info

CROATIA: PRVA NL - ROUND 21

Date: 13 March 2023, Monday

Location: Stadion Kustosija (Zagreb)


	Kustošija		Jarun Zagreb

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.2	2.7
	2.37	2.95	2.7
	2.39	3.05	2.7
	2.38	3.1	2.99
	2.34	3.24	2.86	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.6)	3.11 ↑ (2.9)	2.77 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kustošija
38%

Draw
29.2%

Jarun Zagreb
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

33.2%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kustošija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Jarun Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jarun Zagreb than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Kustošija - Jarun Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kustošija will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Jarun will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Prva NL (Relegation) and 8).

Kustošija is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jarun is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jarun could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kustošija won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Kustošija won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Kustošija
Croatian Prva NL
08.03.23	Kustošija - Orijent	0:0 ✺
03.03.23	Dubrava - Kustošija	5:2 ✺
18.02.23	Vukovar 91 - Kustošija	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.02.23	Kustošija - Krupa	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Kustošija	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLLW
- Jarun Zagreb
Croatian Prva NL
04.03.23	Jarun Zagreb - Croatia Zmijavci	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Dugopolje - Jarun Zagreb	0:0 ✺
17.02.23	Jarun Zagreb - Cibalia	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.02.23	Rudar Pljevlja - Jarun Zagreb	1:4 ✺
06.02.23	Jarun Zagreb - Krupa	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
15.10.22	Jarun Zagreb - Kustošija	3:0
19.03.22	Kustošija - Jarun Zagreb	1:1
18.09.21	Jarun Zagreb - Kustošija	1:1
Club Friendly
27.01.19	Kustošija - Jarun Zagreb	5:2

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