Match Info

Date: 9 May 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Kyoto Sanga		Montedio Yamagata

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.4	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.5	Watch
	2.06	3.3	3.3
	2.14	3.59	3.47
	2.05	3.3	3.5
	2.02	3.6	3.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.02)	3.47 ↓ (3.5)	3.47 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyoto Sanga
45.8%

Draw
27.1%

Montedio Yamagata
27.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.2%

26.7%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

20.6%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Montedio Yamagata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kyoto Sanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montedio Yamagata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Kyoto Sanga - Montedio Yamagata Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 6 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 and 14).

Kyoto in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Montedio Yamagata is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kyoto will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Kyoto won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Kyoto won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J2 League
05.05.21	Ryūkyū - Kyoto Sanga	0:0 ✺
01.05.21	Kyoto Sanga - Ehime	3:2 ✺
25.04.21	Renofa Yamaguchi - Kyoto Sanga	0:2 ✺
21.04.21	Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga	0:2 ✺
17.04.21	Kyoto Sanga - Giravanz Kitakyushu	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWWW
- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
05.05.21	Montedio Yamagata - Ventforet Kofu	2:2 ✺
01.05.21	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Montedio Yamagata	1:2 ✺
25.04.21	Montedio Yamagata - Júbilo Iwata	1:0 ✺
21.04.21	Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:3 ✺
17.04.21	Blaublitz Akita - Montedio Yamagata	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
01.11.20	Kyoto Sanga - Montedio Yamagata	3:0
08.08.20	Montedio Yamagata - Kyoto Sanga	3:4
13.07.19	Montedio Yamagata - Kyoto Sanga	0:1
03.04.19	Kyoto Sanga - Montedio Yamagata	0:1
04.08.18	Kyoto Sanga - Montedio Yamagata	1:0
15.04.18	Montedio Yamagata - Kyoto Sanga	1:0
09.09.17	Montedio Yamagata - Kyoto Sanga	2:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League
31.10.26	Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse	✺
- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
31.10.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Montedio Yamagata	✺

Kyoto Sanga - Montedio Yamagata