The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tokyo Verdy 37.4%
Draw 31.3%
Kyoto Sanga 31.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.1%
30.6%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
30.4%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tokyo Verdy's performance.
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kyoto Sanga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tokyo Verdy that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kyoto Sanga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 45% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
EH -1 - draw (1.56) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
AH 0 - Tokyo Verdy (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo Verdy (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kyoto (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Vidotto (G) 23. Tsunashima Y. 2. Fukazawa D. 3. Taniguchi H. 22. Onaga H. 7. Morita K. 16. Hirakawa R. 40. Arai Y. 8. Saito K. 11. Yamami H. 10. Kimura Y.
26. Ota G. (G) 2. Fukuda S. 24. Miyamoto Y. 50. Suzuki Y. 44. Sato K. 16. Takeda S. 7. Kawasaki S. 39. Hirato T. 29. Okugawa M. 93. Nagasawa S. 18. Matsuda T.
Substitutes
17. Inami T. 37. Kawasaki S. 25. Kumatoriya I. 19. Matsuhashi Y. 20. Meshino S. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 27. Shirai R. 9. Someno I. 15. Suzuki K.
3. Asada S. 31. Hiraga S. 21. Kakoi K. (G) 77. Murilo de Souza 15. Nagata K. 4. Patrick William 9. Rafael Elias 22. Sugai H. 8. Yonemoto T.
Coaches
Hiroshi J.
Jo Gwi-Jae
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Takeda S. 🟨,
35', Sato K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', Matsuda T. ↓, Murilo de Souza ↑,
66', Sato K. ↓, Sugai H. ↑,
67', Hirato T. 🟥,
73', Morita K. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
73', Yamami H. ↓, Someno I. ↑,
76', Nagasawa S. ↓, Rafael Elias ↑,
88', Takeda S. ↓, Yonemoto T. ↑,
88', Saito K. ↓, Meshino S. ↑,
88', Rafael Elias ↓, Hiraga S. ↑,
88', Onaga H. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 0, Arai Y. ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Sako M.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada G.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Kyoto: Fukuoka S.
(Yellow Cards)
Gu Sung-Yun
(Inactive)
Hara T.
(Injury)
Rafael Elias
(Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Kyoto Sanga - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 37.32%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
Watch
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Matheus Vidotto (G) 
Tsunashima Y. 
Jo Gwi-Jae 
