Match Info

J1 League - Round 14

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Kyoto Sanga		Shimizu S-Pulse

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.3	3.7	Watch
	2.1	3.15	3.45	Watch
	2.13	3.35	3.78
	2.23	3.28	3.35	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.6
	2.03	3.35	3.85	Watch
	2.07	3.3	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.07)	3.26 ↓ (3.3)	3.58 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyoto Sanga
45%

Draw
28.8%

Shimizu S-Pulse
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

27.9%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

27.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	23.1%	0%

Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S Pulse Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ota G. (G) 22. Sugai H. 5. Appiah Tawiah H. 50. Suzuki Y. (C) 44. Sato K. 6. Joao Pedro 25. Yoon S. 48. Nakano R. 11. Marco Tulio 88. Gustavo Barreto 18. Matsuda T.	16. Umeda T. (G) 4. Hasukawa S. 15. Honda Y. 28. Yoshida Y. 5. Kitazume K. 6. Uno Z. (C) 17. Yumiba M. 7. Capixaba 38. Takahashi T. 47. Shimamoto Y. 9. Oh Se-Hun
Substitutes
77. Arai H. 2. Fukuda S. 34. Henrique Trevisan 16. Hiraoka T. 39. Hirato T. 21. Kakoi K. (G) 7. Okugawa M. 9. Rafael Elias 8. Yonemoto T.	29. Ahmedov A. 25. Brunetti M. 23. Chiba K. 39. Hidaka H. 81. Kozuka K. 10. Matheus Bueno 11. Nakahara H. 97. Ohata R. 1. Oki Y. (G)
Coaches
Jo Gwi-Jae	Yoshida T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Appiah Tawiah H. 🟨,
8', Gustavo Barreto 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Marco Tulio ⚽, Sugai H. (A),
31', Marco Tulio ↓, Arai H. ↑,
44', Takahashi T. 🟨,
45+2', Gustavo Barreto 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Yumiba M. ↓, Matheus Bueno ↑,
48', Arai H. 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Uno Z. ⚽, Yoshida Y. (A),
65', Matsuda T. ↓, Yonemoto T. ↑,
65', Nakano R. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Shimamoto Y. ⚽, Yoshida Y. (A),
69', Honda Y. ↓, Brunetti M. ↑,
70', Capixaba ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
70', Yoon S. ↓, Rafael Elias ↑,
70', Sato K. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
82', Shimamoto Y. ↓, Kozuka K. ↑,
87', Takahashi T. ↓, Ohata R. ↑,
90+6', Rafael Elias 🟨,
90+8', Joao Pedro 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 3.

Kyoto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shimizu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Shimizu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kyoto might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Kyoto: Fukuoka S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Shimizu: Kitagawa K. (Injury) Matsuzaki K. (Injury) Sumiyoshi J. (Red Card)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Kyoto	4	1	1	2	6:8	-2	4
16	Shimizu S-Pulse	4	1	0	3	1:3	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League
29.04.26	Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka	2:1 penalties ✺
18.04.26	Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Kyoto Sanga - Fagiano Okayama	5:1 ✺
04.04.26	Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWLW
- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League
29.04.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Nagoya Grampus	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1 penalties ✺
05.04.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:3 ✺
01.04.26	Vissel Kobe - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
14.02.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 penalties
20.09.25	Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1
16.03.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kyoto Sanga	1:2
Japan Emperors Cup
10.07.24	Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:1
Japan J1 League
27.08.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kyoto Sanga	1:0
Japan Emperors Cup
22.06.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kyoto Sanga	0:1
Japan J1 League
14.05.22	Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:0

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