The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kyoto Sanga 38.1%
Draw 28.8%
Shimizu S-Pulse 33.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.7%
28.6%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
28.6%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
33.3%
44.4%
Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S Pulse Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Shimizu will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 11.9% โ 76.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
90. Halls (G) 5. Tawiah H. 50. Suzuki Y. 15. Nagata K. 17. Souza Alex 6. Joao Pedro 25. Yoon S. 10. Fukuoka S. 11. Marco Tulio 77. Arai H. 9. Rafael Elias (C)
1. Oki Y. (G) 24. Sugai H. 3. Takahashi Y. 4. Hasukawa S. 25. Brunetti M. 37. Koizumi K. 17. Yumiba M. 21. Matsuzaki K. 13. Germain R. 9. Oh Se-Hun (C) 7. Capixaba
Substitutes
40. Ishida Y. 23. Kato T. 24. Morooka H. 93. Nagasawa S. 48. Nakano R. 7. Okugawa M. 1. Ota G. (G) 62. Shichi T. 60. Yamanaka R.
50. Fujii T. 18. Hirato T. 8. Inoue K. 81. Kozuka K. 97. Ohata R. 14. Park Seung-Wook 47. Shimamoto Y. 16. Umeda T. (G) 28. Yoshida Y.
Coaches
Popovic R.
Yoshida T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', Takahashi Y. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Rafael Elias ⚽,
14', Hasukawa S. ↓, Park Seung-Wook ↑,
43', Souza Alex 🟨,
45+5', 2 - 0, Rafael Elias ⚽, Marco Tulio (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Marco Tulio ↓, Kato T. ↑,
58', Capixaba ↓, Fujii T. ↑,
58', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Hirato T. ↑,
61', Brunetti M. 🟨,
65', Fukuoka S. ↓, Morooka H. ↑,
65', Souza Alex ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
73', Kato T. 🟨,
77', Yoon S. ↓, Shichi T. ↑,
77', Rafael Elias ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
80', Germain R. ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
81', Koizumi K. ↓, Shimamoto Y. ↑,
88', Tawiah H. 🟨,
90+1', Inoue K. 🟨,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 16th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 3.
In recent outings, Kyoto has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Shimizu has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Shimizu could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Kyoto: Saito M.
(Knee Injury)
Sato K.
(Yellow Cards).
Confirmed absences for Shimizu: Ishikawa K.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Kyoto has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:12 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kyoto against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 6:5 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Shimizu S-Pulse
10
4
2
4
10:11
-1
14
16
Kyoto
10
2
2
6
11:19
-8
8
Outrights of Japan J1 League for now
Kyoto: 0.65% Shimizu S-Pulse: 0.43%
Last Results with these Odds
Shimizu S-Pulse - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.64%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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Halls (G) 
Tawiah H. 
Yoon S. 
Popovic R. 
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