Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 16

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Braun R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	09:30	Disney+, Fox Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	23:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	13:30	Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	16:30	Idman TV
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:30	Sportklub 3
Bulgaria	14:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	07:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	09:30	Disney+
Colombia	07:30	Disney+
Croatia	13:30	SportKlub 3
Czech Republic	13:30	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	13:30	Viaplay
Finland	14:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	13:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	14:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	20:30	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	13:30	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	12:30	Viaplay
Israel	14:30	Sport 3
Laos	19:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Malta	13:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Montenegro	13:30	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	13:30	Viaplay
North Macedonia	13:30	SportKlub 3
Norway	13:30	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	07:30	Disney+
Poland	13:30	Viaplay
Portugal	12:30	DAZN 3
Singapore	20:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	13:30	Sport TV2
Spain	13:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	13:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	13:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	19:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	14:30	Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	12:30	Sky Sports+
Uruguay	09:30	Disney+
Usa	07:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	08:30	Disney+
International	12:30	Disney+, Onefootball, Sky Sports app


	Köln		Nürnberg

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.1	4.75	Watch
	1.66	4.2	4.6
	1.62	4.33	4.5	Watch
	1.65	4.34	5.05
	1.65	4.27	4.8	Watch
	1.67	4	4.6
	1.68	4.25	4.52	Watch
	1.62	4.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.68)	4.23 ↑ (4.18)	4.67 ↑ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
57.4%

Draw
22.4%

Nürnberg
20.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.6%

22.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

21.4%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Köln - Nürnberg Predictions

Users Predictions: Köln will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schwabe M. (G) 4. Hubers T. (C) 6. Martel E. 3. Heintz D. 29. Thielmann J. 7. Ljubicic D. 8. Huseinbasic D. 17. Paqarada L. 11. Kainz F. 37. Maina L. 42. Downs D.	1. Reichert J. (G) 4. Jeltsch F. 31. Knoche R. (C) 44. Karafiat O. 2. Villadsen O. 10. Justvan J. 20. Jander C. 17. Castrop J. 21. Yilmaz B. 30. Emreli M. 9. Tzimas S.
Substitutes
38. Bakatukanda E. 18. Carstensen R. 35. Finkgrafe M. 16. Obuz M. 21. Tigges S. 40. Urbig J. (G) 13. Uth M. 9. Waldschmidt L.	6. Flick F. 32. Janisch T. 18. Lubach R. 26. Mathenia C. (G) 7. Pick F. 33. Seidel N. 23. Serra J. 19. Sevcik M. 3. Soares D. T.
Coaches
Struber G.	Klose M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Downs D. ⚽, Heintz D. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Kainz F. (Pen),
31', 3 - 0, Huseinbasic D. ⚽, Downs D. (A),
33', Hubers T. 🟨,
41', Heintz D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Emreli M. ↓, Flick F. ↑,
50', Yilmaz B. 🟨,
55', Thielmann J. 🟨,
57', Mathenia C. 🟨,
57', Thielmann J. ↓, Obuz M. ↑,
59', 3 - 1, Castrop J. ⚽, Jander C. (A),
72', Karafiat O. ↓, Sevcik M. ↑,
76', Tzimas S. ↓, Serra J. ↑,
76', Jander C. ↓, Lubach R. ↑,
80', Kainz F. ↓, Uth M. ↑,
80', Heintz D. ↓, Bakatukanda E. ↑,
83', Yilmaz B. ↓, Pick F. ↑,
84', Maina L. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
84', Downs D. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
85', Ljubicic D. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 12).

Köln in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nürnberg is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nürnberg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Köln is a favorite.

There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Pauli J. (Head Injury)

There will not play in Nürnberg: Forkel D. (Knee Injury) Handwerker T. (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's Köln to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Köln won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German 2 Bundesliga
08.12.24	Jahn Regensburg - Köln	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
04.12.24	Köln - Hertha Berlin	2:1 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
30.11.24	Köln - Hannover	2:2 ✺
22.11.24	Preußen Münster - Köln	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Köln - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTWW
- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
06.12.24	Elversberg - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:2 ✺
22.11.24	Paderborn - Nürnberg	3:2 ✺
08.11.24	Nürnberg - Kaiserslautern	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Hamburger SV - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
18.02.12	Nürnberg - Köln	2:1

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