Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 16

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)

Referee: Braun R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, Fox Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 3
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	SportKlub 3
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Sky Sports app


	Köln		Nürnberg

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.1	4.75	Watch
	1.66	4.2	4.6
	1.62	4.33	4.5	Watch
	1.65	4.34	5.05
	1.65	4.27	4.8	Watch
	1.67	4	4.6
	1.68	4.25	4.52	Watch
	1.62	4.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.68)	4.23 ↑ (4.18)	4.67 ↑ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
57.4%

Draw
22.4%

Nürnberg
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

22.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

21.7%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Köln - Nürnberg Predictions

Users Predictions: Köln will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schwabe M. (G) 4. Hubers T. (C) 6. Martel E. 3. Heintz D. 29. Thielmann J. 7. Ljubicic D. 8. Huseinbasic D. 17. Paqarada L. 11. Kainz F. 37. Maina L. 42. Downs D.	1. Reichert J. (G) 4. Jeltsch F. 31. Knoche R. (C) 44. Karafiat O. 2. Villadsen O. 10. Justvan J. 20. Jander C. 17. Castrop J. 21. Yilmaz B. 30. Emreli M. 9. Tzimas S.
Substitutes
38. Bakatukanda E. 18. Carstensen R. 35. Finkgrafe M. 16. Obuz M. 21. Tigges S. 40. Urbig J. (G) 13. Uth M. 9. Waldschmidt L.	6. Flick F. 32. Janisch T. 18. Lubach R. 26. Mathenia C. (G) 7. Pick F. 33. Seidel N. 23. Serra J. 19. Sevcik M. 3. Soares D. T.
Coaches
Struber G.	Klose M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Downs D. ⚽, Heintz D. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Kainz F. (Pen),
31', 3 - 0, Huseinbasic D. ⚽, Downs D. (A),
33', Hubers T. 🟨,
41', Heintz D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Emreli M. ↓, Flick F. ↑,
50', Yilmaz B. 🟨,
55', Thielmann J. 🟨,
57', Mathenia C. 🟨,
57', Thielmann J. ↓, Obuz M. ↑,
59', 3 - 1, Castrop J. ⚽, Jander C. (A),
72', Karafiat O. ↓, Sevcik M. ↑,
76', Tzimas S. ↓, Serra J. ↑,
76', Jander C. ↓, Lubach R. ↑,
80', Kainz F. ↓, Uth M. ↑,
80', Heintz D. ↓, Bakatukanda E. ↑,
83', Yilmaz B. ↓, Pick F. ↑,
84', Maina L. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
84', Downs D. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
85', Ljubicic D. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 12).

Köln in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nürnberg is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nürnberg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Köln is a favorite.

There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Pauli J. (Head Injury)

There will not play in Nürnberg: Forkel D. (Knee Injury) Handwerker T. (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's Köln to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Köln won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German 2 Bundesliga
08.12.24	Jahn Regensburg - Köln	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
04.12.24	Köln - Hertha Berlin	2:1 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
30.11.24	Köln - Hannover	2:2 ✺
22.11.24	Preußen Münster - Köln	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Köln - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTWW
- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
06.12.24	Elversberg - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:2 ✺
22.11.24	Paderborn - Nürnberg	3:2 ✺
08.11.24	Nürnberg - Kaiserslautern	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Hamburger SV - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
18.02.12	Nürnberg - Köln	2:1

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