Match Info

Date: 6 October 2022, Thursday

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)

Referee: Bengoetxea R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Urheilu
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, RTL
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay


	Köln		Partizan

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	7
	1.55	4.2	5.25
	1.55	4.35	5.75
	1.52	4.5	5.8
	1.56	4.62	6.67
	1.48	4.5	5.8
	1.51	4.7	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.38)	4.46 ↓ (4.81)	6.04 ↓ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 0.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
62.7%

Draw
21.4%

Partizan
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

19.4%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

20.7%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Partizan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Köln, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.8%	11.5%	14.8%

Köln - Partizan Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 45 - 73.8%). Partizan will win (votes: 9 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 62.8% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Köln has currently - 4, has a good chance of 1st (67%), has a chance of 2nd (21%), has a small chance of 3rd (9%), has a good chance of round of 16 (81%), has a good chance of qtrs (54%), has a chance of semis (33%), has a chance of final (19%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

Partizan has currently - 2, has a small chance of 1st (8%), has a chance of 2nd (18%), has a chance of 3rd (35%), has a chance of round of 16 (18%), has a small chance of qtrs (8%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 60, big importance 77, match rating 68. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Köln is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Partizan is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Köln could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Köln is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Köln: Chabot J. (Ankle Injury) Limnios D. (Knee Injury) Olesen M. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Partizan: Belic K. (Red Card) Pantic D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Köln: Andersson S. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
01.10.22	Köln - Borussia Dortmund	3:2 ✺
18.09.22	Bochum - Köln	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.09.22	Köln - Slovácko	4:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
11.09.22	Köln - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.09.22	Nice - Köln	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWLT
- FK Partizan
Serbian Superliga
02.10.22	Partizan - Vojvodina	4:1 ✺
Serbian Cup
28.09.22	Radnički Sremska Mitrovica - Partizan	2:1 penalties ✺
Serbian Superliga
18.09.22	Radnik Surdulica - Partizan	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.09.22	Partizan - Nice	1:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
11.09.22	Partizan - Mladost Lučani	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWTW

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