The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lübeck 46%
Draw 25.1%
St. Pauli II 29%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.9%
22.7%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
22.4%
32.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
St. Pauli II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli II than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Lübeck - St. Pauli II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Pfundheller B. ⚽,
44', Wurr H. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, Istefo F. ⚽,
53', 3 - 0, Demir R. ⚽,
68', 4 - 0, Amadi J. ⚽,
82', 4 - 1, Quasi E. ⚽,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 10th and 16th in the Regionalliga North (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lübeck won 1.
Lübeck is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
St. Pauli II has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lübeck holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Lübeck has recorded 10 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:18 (averaging 1.8:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lübeck against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with 18:7 goals (averaging 2:0.8 per game).
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