The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
LA Galaxy II 28.8%
Draw 25.2%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks 46%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.8%
20.1%
60.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19%
20.9%
62.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LA Galaxy II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in LA Galaxy II's performance.
Colorado Springs Switchbacks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colorado Springs Switchbacks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for LA Galaxy II than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LA Galaxy II that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Springs Switchbacks than the current prediction. (+16.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colorado Springs Switchbacks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
LA Galaxy II - Colorado Springs Switchbacks Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. LA Galaxy II will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Colorado Springs will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for LA Galaxy II: 57.7% – 92.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
LA Galaxy II has the most likely position - 11 (17.74%), has project points - 41, has currently - 18, has a chance of playoffs (19%), has a small chance of qtrs (7%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Colorado Springs has the most likely position - 2 (23.08%), has project points - 60, has currently - 27, has a good chance of playoffs (92%), has a good chance of qtrs (57%), has a chance of semis (28%), has a small chance of final (13%), has a small chance of win league (6%).
This event has small quality14, small importance13, small match rating14. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy II won 2.
Recent matches LA Galaxy II is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Colorado Springs is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
LA Galaxy II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Colorado Springs will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 12 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy II won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-20.
Including matches at home between the teams LA Galaxy II won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-10.
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