Match Info

Date: 13 May 2022, Friday

Location: Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson)

Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)


	LA Galaxy II		Louisville City

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.7	1.77
	4	3.7	1.7
	3.7	3.6	1.75
	3.82	3.91	1.83
	3.74	3.78	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.56)	3.74 ↑ (3.5)	1.77 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: The CW (WBKI - Louisville)

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Current Win Probability

LA Galaxy II
24.1%

Draw
24.4%

Louisville City
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

25.9%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

25.7%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LA Galaxy II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LA Galaxy II than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

LA Galaxy II - Louisville City Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. LA Galaxy II will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Louisville City will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

LA Galaxy II has the most likely position - 12 (18.26%), has project points - 38, has currently - 11, has a small chance of playoffs (15%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Louisville City has the most likely position - 1 (58.46%), has project points - 68, has currently - 24, has a very good chance of playoffs (>99%), has a good chance of qtrs (85%), has a good chance of semis (59%), has a chance of final (37%), has a chance of win league (20%).

This event has small quality 14, small importance 15, small match rating 14. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches LA Galaxy II is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Louisville City in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Louisville City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Louisville City is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LA Galaxy II
USL Championship
07.05.22	El Paso Locomotive - LA Galaxy II	4:0 ✺
01.05.22	LA Galaxy II - Phoenix Rising	3:0 ✺
23.04.22	Las Vegas Lights - LA Galaxy II	1:1 ✺
16.04.22	LA Galaxy II - Monterey Bay	3:1 ✺
09.04.22	Phoenix Rising - LA Galaxy II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWTWL
- Louisville City FC
USL Championship
04.05.22	Atlanta United II - Louisville City	0:4 ✺
30.04.22	Louisville City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:0 ✺
23.04.22	Charleston Battery - Louisville City	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
20.04.22	Louisville City - St. Louis City 2	1:0 penalties ✺
USL Championship
16.04.22	San Diego Loyal - Louisville City	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTWW

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