Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Laney College Football Stadium (Oakland)

Referee: Griggs J. (Usa)


	Oakland Roots		LA Galaxy II

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.4	Watch
	1.79	3.55	3.55
	1.86	4.13	3.5
	1.85	3.75	3.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.9)	3.76 ↑ (3.6)	3.5 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oakland Roots
49.7%

Draw
24.3%

LA Galaxy II
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

25.1%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

28.1%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oakland Roots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

LA Galaxy II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LA Galaxy II than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Oakland Roots - LA Galaxy II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 8).

Oakland Roots has the most likely position - 11 (16.44%), has project points - 40, has currently - 9, has a chance of playoffs (20%), has a small chance of qtrs (9%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

LA Galaxy II has the most likely position - 12 (17.26%), has project points - 39, has currently - 14, has a chance of playoffs (17%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 12, small importance 15, small match rating 14. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

Oakland Roots could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Oakland Roots will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Oakland Roots won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Oakland Roots won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oakland Roots
USL Championship
14.05.22	Las Vegas Lights - Oakland Roots	1:1 ✺
07.05.22	Orange County SC - Oakland Roots	2:2 ✺
30.04.22	Oakland Roots - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0:3 ✺
23.04.22	El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots	1:1 ✺
16.04.22	Oakland Roots - Loudoun United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTLTW
- LA Galaxy II
USL Championship
18.05.22	Memphis 901 - LA Galaxy II	5:0 ✺
13.05.22	LA Galaxy II - Louisville City	4:3 ✺
07.05.22	El Paso Locomotive - LA Galaxy II	4:0 ✺
01.05.22	LA Galaxy II - Phoenix Rising	3:0 ✺
23.04.22	Las Vegas Lights - LA Galaxy II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
18.09.21	Oakland Roots - LA Galaxy II	0:1
14.08.21	Oakland Roots - LA Galaxy II	2:1
25.07.21	LA Galaxy II - Oakland Roots	3:0
23.05.21	LA Galaxy II - Oakland Roots	2:3

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