The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Memphis 901 52.1%
Draw 24%
LA Galaxy II 23.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.6%
23.4%
17%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.7%
24.6%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Memphis 901 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Memphis 901's form might have worsened.
LA Galaxy II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting LA Galaxy II's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for LA Galaxy II than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for LA Galaxy II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Memphis 901 - LA Galaxy II Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Memphis will win (votes: 9 - 60%). LA Galaxy II will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Memphis: 35.2% – 84.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Memphis has the most likely position - 3 (16.43%), has project points - 57, has currently - 19, has a good chance of playoffs (88%), has a chance of qtrs (49%), has a chance of semis (22%), has a small chance of final (10%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
LA Galaxy II has the most likely position - 11 (15.82%), has project points - 41, has currently - 14, has a chance of playoffs (23%), has a small chance of qtrs (8%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality13, small importance15, small match rating14. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
In this match Memphis is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Memphis to win the game is with odds 1.72.