Match Info

USA: MLS NEXT PRO

Date: 16 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson)


	LA Galaxy II		Tacoma Defiance

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.7	2.15
	2.62	3.85	2.22
	2.76	3.84	2.16	Watch
	2.7	3.65	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (4.42)	3.76 ↓ (4)	2.18 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LA Galaxy II
34%

Draw
24.2%

Tacoma Defiance
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

22.6%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

22%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LA Galaxy II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in LA Galaxy II's performance.

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tacoma Defiance might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LA Galaxy II than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LA Galaxy II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tacoma Defiance could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

LA Galaxy II - Tacoma Defiance Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. LA Galaxy II will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tacoma will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Micovic N. (G) 83. Legaspi A. 47. Klein C. 28. Ferkranus M. 50. Dalgado R. 43. Saldana A. 45. Gonzalez A. 56. Perez J. 53. Alcala A. 30. Vivi Quesada G. 73. Bibout A.	29. Castro J. (G) 32. Uderitz H. 88. Ovalle A. 39. Hawkins S. 96. Bowen B. 77. Kitahara S. 34. Daroma F. 31. Sousa T. 99. Teves D. 35. Rothrock P. 72. Rodrigues B. P.
Substitutes
52. Amadin E. 65. Calderon J. 90. Garcia E. 41. Jillson S. (G) 48. Lopez D. 38. Picazo A. 72. Schelotto N. 54. Tellez B. 74. Villapando S.	52. Brunell S. 70. Herrera A. 78. Karalkovas P. 83. Katsaros E. 36. Lapsley W. (G) 81. Miglietti G. 93. Minoungou G.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy II won 0.

Recent matches LA Galaxy II is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tacoma is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tacoma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy II won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20-24.

Including matches at home between the teams LA Galaxy II won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LA Galaxy II
MLS Next Pro
12.07.23	LA Galaxy II - Los Angeles 2	4:3 ✺
09.07.23	LA Galaxy II - St. Louis City 2	1:0 ✺
29.06.23	San Jose Earthquakes 2 - LA Galaxy II	3:2 penalties ✺
25.06.23	Colorado Rapids 2 - LA Galaxy II	5:1 ✺
09.06.23	Real Monarchs - LA Galaxy II	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLL
- Tacoma Defiance
MLS Next Pro
09.07.23	Tacoma Defiance - North Texas	3:0 ✺
02.07.23	Tacoma Defiance - Houston Dynamo 2	1:0 ✺
25.06.23	Tacoma Defiance - Austin II	1:0 ✺
18.06.23	Colorado Rapids 2 - Tacoma Defiance	1:2 ✺
15.06.23	Sporting Kansas City II - Tacoma Defiance	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS Next Pro
30.04.23	Tacoma Defiance - LA Galaxy II	3:1
USL Championship
24.10.21	Tacoma Defiance - LA Galaxy II	3:2
11.07.21	LA Galaxy II - Tacoma Defiance	1:1
27.06.21	Tacoma Defiance - LA Galaxy II	2:0
09.05.21	LA Galaxy II - Tacoma Defiance	1:1
29.05.19	LA Galaxy II - Tacoma Defiance	2:2
16.03.19	Tacoma Defiance - LA Galaxy II	0:3

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