The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting Kansas City II 37%
Draw 22.9%
Tacoma Defiance 40.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.3%
25.8%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.4%
25%
44.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Kansas City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Kansas City II's performance.
Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Kansas City II that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Sporting Kansas City II - Tacoma Defiance Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Kortkamp J. (G) 87. Francka J. 41. Lurot P. 60. Young N. 72. Wantland Z. 44. Quintero G. 48. Mabie B. 88. Donovan S. 70. Haas T. 77. Hines K. 96. Rodriguez M.
56. Newman N. (C) 33. Baker C. 35. Lopez A. 39. Hawkins S. 48. Phoenix C. 40. O'Neill M. 45. Kingston P. 84. Gaffney C. 36. Tsukanome Y. 90. Gomez S. 95. De Rosario O.
Substitutes
40. Adewumi T. 47. Burns T. 80. Francis M. 37. Ikoba T. 49. Lor T. 75. Loyo Reynaga Z. 91. Molinaro J. (G) 76. Ortiz J. 34. Russo D.
81. Bronnik M. 30. Carli E. 32. Gnaulati X. 42. Jauregui R. 97. Kitafuji S. 34. Robles D. 53. Sandnes G. 41. Shour M. (G) 58. Winslow J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
40', 1 - 0, Donovan S. ⚽, Wantland Z. (A),
45', 1 - 1, Baker C. ⚽,
45+1', Baker C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Kingston P. 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, De Rosario O. ⚽,
60', Wantland Z. ↓, Russo D. ↑,
60', Hines K. ↓, Ikoba T. ↑,
61', De Rosario O. ↓, Bronnik M. ↑,
63', 2 - 2, Donovan S. ⚽,
65', Quintero G. 🟨,
72', Lopez A. ↓, Sandnes G. ↑,
72', Hawkins S. ↓, Winslow J. ↑,
73', Kingston P. ↓, Gnaulati X. ↑,
74', Haas T. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
86', Quintero G. ↓, Loyo Reynaga Z. ↑,
90+2', Gaffney C. ↓, Carli E. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, O'Neill M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Ikoba T. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Gomez S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Loyo Reynaga Z. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Tsukanome Y. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ortiz J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Gnaulati X. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Russo D. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Carli E. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC II won 1.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Tacoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC II won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting KC II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).
World
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Kortkamp J. (G) 
Lurot P. 
Phoenix C. 
Tsukanome Y. 
De Rosario O. 
Ortiz J. 
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