The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tacoma Defiance 37.4%
Draw 25.6%
Houston Dynamo 2 37%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.3%
25.3%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
25.8%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Houston Dynamo 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo 2 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Tacoma Defiance - Houston Dynamo 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Anchor M. (C) 47. Alvarez D. 53. Sandnes G. 58. Winslow J. 84. Gaffney C. 40. O'Neill M. 32. Gnaulati X. 48. Phoenix C. 30. Carli E. 42. Jauregui R. 81. Bronnik M.
35. Erb L. (C) 30. Mwakutuya I. 20. Wolff G. 12. Silva V. 14. Betancourt N. 17. Herrera D. 8. Gustavo Dohmann 44. Gardner M. 11. Bell J. 39. Mohammad S. 7. Brummett A.
Substitutes
70. Brito K. 80. Brown D. 62. Emert M. 79. Gonzalez L. 99. Lucero L. 34. Robles D. 41. Shour M. (G) 65. Smith B.
16. Alan 33. Dimareli M. 19. Garcia D. 34. Harris M. 24. Jiana M. 43. Vedishchev R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Gnaulati X. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Silva V. ⚽, Mwakutuya I. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Bronnik M. ⚽, Gaffney C. (A),
48', Herrera D. 🟨,
49', 2 - 1, Carli E. ⚽,
51', Jauregui R. 🟨,
58', Gardner M. ↓, Jiana M. ↑,
59', Bronnik M. 🟨,
62', Phoenix C. ↓, Emert M. ↑,
62', Gnaulati X. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
72', Carli E. 🟨,
79', Bronnik M. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
79', Mohammad S. ↓, Alan ↑,
79', Bell J. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
85', Wolff G. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
88', O'Neill M. ↓, Lucero L. ↑,
88', Carli E. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
90+5', Gustavo Dohmann ↓, Reyes D. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 4.
Tacoma has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Houston Dynamo 2 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Houston Dynamo 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 2.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 3.2:1.2).
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Anchor M. (C) 
Alvarez D. 
Phoenix C. 
Silva V. 
Bell J. 
Garcia D. 
Vedishchev R. 
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