Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Final

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Raiffeisen Arena (Linz)

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Austria	Laola1
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Laola1, Prime Video Sportsbar DE
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Sky Sport Calcio
Mexico	Disney+, VIX
Mongolia	Premier Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport 3
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	TV2 Play
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5, Fox Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Kanal A, Nova Sport 3
South-america	Space Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2
Turkey	Tabii Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, SportsEngine Play, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5


	LASK Linz		Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.9	3.6
	1.95	3.80	3.50
	1.92	3.95	3.15
	1.9	4.19	3.75
	1.96	4.03	3.47	Watch
	1.86	4.05	3.7
	1.92	4.04	3.52
	1.88	3.85	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.71)	3.98 ↑ (3.06)	3.54 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LASK Linz
49.6%

Draw
23.7%

Celtic
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

31.3%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

33.1%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LASK Linz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in LASK Linz's performance.

Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Celtic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LASK Linz than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LASK Linz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.3%	26.1%	19.6%

LASK Linz - Celtic Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. LASK will win (votes: 25 - 55.6%). Celtic will win (votes: 8 - 17.8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LASK: 41.1% – 70.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. LASK (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Celtic (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - LASK (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. LASK (votes: 4 - 40%). Celtic (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jungwirth L. (G) 4. Mbuyamba X. 43. Tornich J. 16. Andrade A. 20. Molgaard Jorgensen K. P. 10. Ljubicic R. 6. Bogarde M. 30. Horvath S. (C) 2. Bello G. 8. Usor M. 7. Adeniran S.	1. Sinisalo V. (G) 51. Donovan C. 20. Carter-Vickers C. 6. Trusty A. 63. Tierney K. 42. McGregor C. (C) 22. Baur M. 11. Duran C. 8. Nygren B. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun 9. Hogh K.
Substitutes
9. Danek K. 25. Dibango Y. 29. Flecker F. 3. Freckleton M. 27. Lang C. 50. Schillinger F. (G) 18. Schopf A. 33. Schutzenauer T. (G) 5. Smakaj A. 21. Verhaeghe M.	10. Balikwisha M. 31. Doohan R. (G) 49. Forrest J. 23. Hassan H. 41. Hatate R. 24. Kenny J. 14. McCowan L. 47. Murray D. 19. Osmand C. 56. Ralston A. 5. Scales L. 17. Tounekti S.
Coaches
Kuhbauer D.	O'Neill Ma.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, McGregor C. ⚽, Yang Hyun-Jun (A),
32', 1 - 1, Usor M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 2 - 1, Ljubicic R. ⚽, Usor M. (A),
57', Kuhbauer D. 🟨,
58', 3 - 1, Adeniran S. ⚽, Horvath S. (A),
63', Nygren B. ↓, Hatate R. ↑,
63', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, Tounekti S. ↑,
71', Baur M. ↓, McCowan L. ↑,
71', Tierney K. ↓, Scales L. ↑,
74', Usor M. 🟨,
74', Donovan C. ↓, Murray D. ↑,
76', O'Neill Ma. 🟨,
81', Ljubicic R. ↓, Schopf A. ↑,
86', Molgaard Jorgensen K. P. ↓, Flecker F. ↑,
90', 4 - 1, Flecker F. ⚽,
90+3', Tornich J. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Carter-Vickers C. ↓, Ralston A. ↑,
99', Horvath S. ↓, Freckleton M. ↑,
99', Tornich J. ↓, Danek K. ↑,
99', Usor M. ↓, Lang C. ↑,
100', Flecker F. ↓, Dibango Y. ↑,
103', McCowan L. 🟨,
109', 5 - 1, Adeniran S. ⚽, Danek K. (A),
115', Adeniran S. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 0-3.

LASK is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Celtic is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

LASK could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in LASK: Harakate R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Celtic: Johnston A. (Inactive) Jota (Knee Injury) Oxlade-Chamberlain A. (Red Card)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, LASK won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 1:4).

Including home match between the teams, LASK won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Celtic: 0.15%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
28	LASK	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0

Last Results with these Odds

LASK Linz - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 35.44%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LASK Linz
UEFA Champions League
19.08.26	Celtic - LASK Linz	3:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
14.08.26	LASK Linz - Ried	4:1 ✺
09.08.26	Austria Wien - LASK Linz	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	LASK Linz - Grazer AK	3:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
25.07.26	Kalsdorf - LASK Linz	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWW
- Celtic
UEFA Champions League
19.08.26	Celtic - LASK Linz	3:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
15.08.26	Dundee United - Celtic	0:4 ✺
Scottish Premier League
09.08.26	Kilmarnock - Celtic	1:5 ✺
03.08.26	Celtic - Dundee	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Celtic - Milan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
19.08.26	Celtic - LASK Linz	3:0
Club Friendly
08.07.14	LASK Linz - Celtic	2:5

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