The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
LDU Portoviejo 50.3%
Draw 29.3%
Gualaceo 20.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.7%
31%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
30%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LDU Portoviejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in LDU Portoviejo's performance.
Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gualaceo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Portoviejo than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LDU Portoviejo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gualaceo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
LDU Portoviejo - Gualaceo Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. LDU Portoviejo will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Gualaceo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Portoviejo won 1.
LDU Portoviejo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Gualaceo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Gualaceo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
LDU Portoviejo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, LDU Portoviejo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, LDU Portoviejo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).