The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
LDU Portoviejo 40.2%
Draw 36.4%
Gualaceo 23.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.3%
30.5%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
30.1%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LDU Portoviejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gualaceo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Portoviejo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gualaceo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
LDU Portoviejo - Gualaceo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Portoviejo won 1.
LDU Portoviejo is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Gualaceo has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Gualaceo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Gualaceo has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, LDU Portoviejo has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:7 (averaging 0.6:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for LDU Portoviejo against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).
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