The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
LEntregu 78.8%
Draw 14.7%
Luarca 6.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.1%
21.6%
12.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.1%
20.1%
11.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LEntregu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in LEntregu's performance.
Luarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luarca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for LEntregu than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LEntregu that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luarca than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luarca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
LEntregu is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Luarca has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match LEntregu is certain favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches LEntregu won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.
Including matches at home between the teams LEntregu won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
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