Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 8

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Folgore		AC Libertas

	1	X	2
	1.26	4.95	8.6
	1.29	4.8	8.45
	1.31	4.8	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.3)	4.85 ↓ (4.88)	8.35 ↑ (8.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Folgore
70.5%

Draw
18.7%

AC Libertas
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

18.7%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

18.1%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folgore has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

AC Libertas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

The ML Model estimate for AC Libertas aligns with the current prediction.

Folgore - AC Libertas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽,
7', 2 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽,
12', 3 - 0, Pancotti S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
52', 4 - 0, Senja E. (Own goal),
71', 4 - 1, Baiardi R. ⚽,
84', Maciel J. 🟥,
88', 5 - 1, Ura R. ⚽,
90', 6 - 1, Aversario F. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Folgore may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Folgore is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Folgore won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Folgore Falciano Calcio
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
25.10.25	Folgore - Pennarossa	3:0 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
22.10.25	La Fiorita - Folgore	1:0 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
17.10.25	Tre Fiori - Folgore	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	Folgore - Fiorentino	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Murata - Folgore	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWW
- AC Libertas
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
25.10.25	AC Libertas - La Fiorita	1:3 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
21.10.25	AC Libertas - Cailungo	2:1 penalties ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
18.10.25	Faetano - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Murata - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	AC Libertas - San Giovanni	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
19.04.25	Folgore - AC Libertas	3:0
21.12.24	AC Libertas - Folgore	0:1
20.02.24	Folgore - AC Libertas	1:1
28.10.23	AC Libertas - Folgore	2:2
21.01.23	Folgore - AC Libertas	2:3
04.09.22	AC Libertas - Folgore	0:0
20.04.22	Folgore - AC Libertas	0:3

Upcoming Matches