Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 6

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Tre Fiori		Folgore

	1	X	2
	2.08	2.98	3.4
	2.11	2.88	3.51
	2.29	3.06	3.04	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.35
	2.3	2.98	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.28)	3 ↓ (3.05)	3.27 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tre Fiori
41.8%

Draw
30.3%

Folgore
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tre Fiori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Folgore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tre Fiori than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Tre Fiori - Folgore Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Benedettini F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Sartori F. 🟥,
81', 2 - 0, Guerra A. ⚽, Mema M. (A),
83', 2 - 1, Raschi J. ⚽, Daidola G. (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Fiori won 3.

Tre Fiori has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Folgore is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tre Fiori might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tre Fiori won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Tre Fiori won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SP Tre Fiori
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
05.10.25	Domagnano - Tre Fiori	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Tre Fiori	1:3 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
24.09.25	Pennarossa - Tre Fiori	1:1 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
21.09.25	Tre Fiori - Juvenes-Dogana	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Tre Fiori - San Giovanni	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTWW
- Folgore Falciano Calcio
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
03.10.25	Folgore - Fiorentino	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Murata - Folgore	0:2 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
24.09.25	Folgore - La Fiorita	0:0 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
21.09.25	Folgore - Faetano	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Virtus - Folgore	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
18.01.25	Tre Fiori - Folgore	0:1
30.08.24	Folgore - Tre Fiori	1:2
11.02.24	Folgore - Tre Fiori	0:1
San Marino Coppa Titano
06.12.23	Tre Fiori - Folgore	0:0
08.11.23	Folgore - Tre Fiori	0:1
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
07.10.23	Tre Fiori - Folgore	3:1
12.03.23	Folgore - Tre Fiori	0:2

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